UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)

4.5 422 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.59
+13.14%
Last month
$ 1.72
+51.19%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 3.18
-33.33%
In a quarter
$ 5.43
+13.84%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
17% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
301 offers on 10 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
White.Market
White.Market
64 offers
from $ 5.08
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
57 offers
from $ 5.12
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
56 offers
from $ 5.21
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
27 offers
from $ 5.48
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
22 offers
from $ 6.08
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 6.22
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
25 offers
from $ 6.36
Steam
Steam
28 offers
from $ 6.9
Skinport
Skinport
20 offers
from $ 7.32
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
1 offers
from $ 8.49
Inspect skin
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir inspecting UMP-45 | Neo-Noir reloading UMP-45 | Neo-Noir holding UMP-45 | Neo-Noir pose-1 UMP-45 | Neo-Noir pose-2 UMP-45 | Neo-Noir pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 5.08
  • 24h price change: 6.5%
  • 7 days low: $ 4.49
  • 7 days high: $ 29.2
  • 7 days price change: 13.14%
  • 30 days low: $ 3.36
  • 30 days high: $ 43.25
  • 30 days price change: 51.19%
  • 90 days low: $ 3.01
  • 90 days high: $ 43.25
  • Year low: $ 2.96
  • Year high: $ 767
  • All time low: $ 2.96
  • All time high: $ 767
  • All time max offers: 691
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 60
  • Sales for last 7 days: 455
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1929
  • Sales for last 90 days: 4414
  • All time sales: 10619
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 0.1244
  • Volatility: 11.74%
  • Liquidity: 31.92%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 3.18
  • Price forecast change in a month: -33.33%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 5.43
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 13.84%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 4.16
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.98
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 4.06
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.06
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 4
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.06
-1.48%
Result
👎 Fail
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.15
Action
❌ Avoid
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 4.16
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 4
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 3.82
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 2.98
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 3
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.22
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.38
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.15
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 3.3
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 4.06
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.06
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 3.41
Action
🔥 Buy
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 3.81
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.63
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 4
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.06
-1.48%
Result
👎 Fail
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.15
Action
❌ Avoid
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 4.7
Action
❌ Avoid
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -0.06
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 4.06
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
17%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

The UMP-45, often overlooked in the SMG lineup, boasts versatility in close-quarter combat despite its limited magazine capacity. Its custom Neo-Noir skin features a stylized blue-magenta woman holding a blade against a grayscale backdrop, evoking a sense of determination and action.

History

History

The UMP-45 | Neo-Noir made its debut in CS2 on October 2nd, 2024, as part of the Gallery Case during "The Armory" update. The skin was crafted by the talented community designer known as "Blazer" and has since become a sought-after choice for players seeking a battle-scarred aesthetic.

Origin

Origin

The UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) skin was introduced as part of the Gallery Collection in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive. Players have a chance to acquire this skin by opening Gallery Case containers within the game.

Popularity

Popularity

The UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) is highly sought after in CS2, boasting a popularity rating of 90%. Its desirability is evident through its consistent high sales volume and the premium price it commands in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Neo-Noir is one of 278 other SMG skins in CS2. Its rarity is Classified, making it a highly sought-after drop with an estimated chance of only 3.2%.

Availability

Availability

Priced between $3.36 and $27.78, the UMP-45 | Neo-Noir in Well-Worn condition offers a budget-friendly option for CS:GO players. This skin is readily accessible across various marketplaces, ensuring its widespread availability for purchase.

Versions

Versions

The UMP-45 | Neo-Noir in Well-Worn condition has a float value between 0.38 to 0.45, giving it a battle-worn appearance with noticeable wear. Collectors can also find a StatTrak variant of the Well-Worn Neo-Noir, adding a tracking feature to this stylish skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The UMP-45 | Neo-Noir in Well-Worn condition has garnered more than 500 reviews on addskins.gg, resulting in an impressive average rating of 4.6 out of 5 stars. This sought-after skin is proudly wielded by renowned CS2 pros such as fnx, jerry, and norwi, further solidifying its popularity within the gaming community.

Finish style

Finish style

The UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) showcases a "Gunsmith" finish, blending patina and custom paint techniques for a unique look. Its color palette features shades of purple and pink, unaffected by pattern indexes, while utilizing the updated CS2 model.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 3.18 (-33.33%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 5.43 (13.84%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players