UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New)

4.7 5080 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 8.2
+32.3%
Last month
$ 17.51
+109%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 22.11
-37.93%
In a quarter
$ 19.4
-45.54%
In half a year
$ 23.51
-34.0%
In a year
$ 44.14
+23.92%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
73% - Forecast accuracy
17% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
118 offers on 10 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
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Inspect skin
UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Primal Saber inspecting UMP-45 | Primal Saber reloading UMP-45 | Primal Saber holding UMP-45 | Primal Saber pose-1 UMP-45 | Primal Saber pose-2 UMP-45 | Primal Saber pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 33.59
  • 24h price change: 2.19%
  • 7 days low: $ 25.39
  • 7 days high: $ 176
  • 7 days price change: 32.3%
  • 30 days low: $ 16.08
  • 30 days high: $ 177
  • 30 days price change: 109%
  • 90 days low: $ 14.12
  • 90 days high: $ 178
  • Year low: $ 8.18
  • Year high: $ 3 300
  • All time low: $ 6.19
  • All time high: $ 3 300
  • All time max offers: 178
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 8
  • Sales for last 7 days: 117
  • Sales for last 30 days: 375
  • Sales for last 90 days: 729
  • All time sales: 1792
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 0.4176
  • Volatility: 22.64%
  • Liquidity: 10.26%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 22.11
  • Price forecast change in a month: -37.93%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 19.4
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -45.54%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 23.51
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -34.0%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 44.14
  • Price forecast change in a year: 23.92%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 13.99
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 13.99
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 19.27
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 5.28
37.74%
Result
👍 Success
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 17.35
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 17.35
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 27.43
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 10.08
58.10%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 19.11
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 19.11
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 27.41
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 8.3
43.43%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 13.99
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 13.99
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 19.27
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 5.28
37.74%
Result
👍 Success
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 17.35
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 17.35
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 13.43
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 13.75
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 15.44
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 16.32
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 16.66
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 16.65
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 17.84
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 17.9
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 17.63
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 22.79
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 27.43
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 10.08
58.10%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 19.11
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 19.11
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 27.41
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 8.3
43.43%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 23.66
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 50.45
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
3
Success count
3
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
73%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
17%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.6 4080
In a year 170%
UMP-45 | Blaze
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UMP-45
Blaze
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$ 84.58
55%
From last month
19 offers on 6 markets
$ 0.02
100%
From last month
1630 offers on 5 markets
$ 0.04
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From last month
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In half a year -51%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Factory New
$ 52.27
128%
From last month
336 offers on 10 markets
4.8 561065
In half a year -32%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Minimal Wear
$ 68
46%
From last week
10 offers on 3 markets
$ 3.78
38%
From last month
89 offers on 9 markets
$ 13.99
66%
From last month
28 offers on 8 markets
4.9 6190
In a year 213%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Field-Tested
$ 55.15
42%
From last week
20 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Minimal Wear
$ 0.97
43%
From last month
134 offers on 6 markets

Description

The UMP-45 | Primal Saber is a very underrated submachine gun due to its low magazine capacity, but it's highly adaptable in close combat. With this striking decal of the fearsome skull of a sabertooth tiger, this skin shows that even the most fearsome predators will meet their maker.

History

History

The UMP-45 | Primal Saber was added to CS2 on April 27th, 2016. The skin belongs to the Chroma 3 Case, one of the highly popular cases in CS2. This is a design masterpiece developed by the very talented community artist ClegFX; he designed its intricate patterns and gave it a primal feel.

Origin

Origin

The UMP-45 | Primal Saber is a Factory New graded rare skin which could be one of the options from the Chroma 3 Case container within CS2. This knife belongs to the exclusive Chroma 3 Collection, featuring an accent of primal elegance to the UMP-45.

Popularity

Popularity

UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) is a widely used skin among the CS2 community, with a popularity level of 90%. As for its modern-day popularity, it can be explained by its good sales volume, and also its premium price given in the real market makes this item one of the most desired in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Primal Saber belongs to 237 other SMG skins and is thus an exclusive option for the players. With such a high demand and rarity grade, being "Classified," the estimated drop chance of the skin is only 3.2%, making it very challenging to get in CS2.

Availability

Availability

The UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) for CS2 can be purchased from $1.37-$21.84, which is very affordable. Currently, this skin is in high demand and has a high supply, with about 357.6K units circulating in public CS2 inventories, so one can easily get it on different markets.

Versions

Versions

UMP-45 | Primal Saber has a float value starting from an immaculate 0.00 all the way through a well-worn 0.77 at Factory New. In other words, players will be able to get this skin in any version of exterior possible. Moreover, for collectors and keen stat-track enthusiasts, every exterior has a StatTrak version of Primal Saber, adding just a touch of personalized tracking into their gameplay.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The UMP-45 | Primal Saber has received a great deal of positive reaction within the CS2 community-a huge number of votes on addskins.gg, averaging 4.7 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is further evidenced by its ownership among such renowned professional players as coldzera, s1mple, and adren, which of course makes it one of the most coveted skins.

Finish style

Finish style

The UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) from CS2 has a "Custom Paint Job" style and displays the Primal Saber finish. This skin has a wide range of looks that can be customized with a vibrant cyan tint as the primary color, and the pattern indexes do not affect it.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 22.11 (-37.93%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 19.4 (-45.54%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 23.51 (-34.0%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 44.14 (23.92%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.77
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.