UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Well-Worn)

4.7 5180 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 4.86
+72.86%
Last month
$ 9.49
+465%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 6.9
-37.58%
In a quarter
$ 4.18
-62.19%
In half a year
$ 4.12
-62.73%
In a year
$ 4.17
-62.28%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
👍 High
89% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
71 offers on 8 markets
Updated4 minutes ago
Marketplace
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CSGO.COM
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5 offers
from $ 15.75
ShadowPay
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13 offers
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1 offers
from $ 1 835
Inspect skin
UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Well-Worn)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Primal Saber inspecting UMP-45 | Primal Saber reloading UMP-45 | Primal Saber holding UMP-45 | Primal Saber pose-1 UMP-45 | Primal Saber pose-2 UMP-45 | Primal Saber pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 11.53
  • 24h price change: 14.38%
  • 7 days low: $ 6.67
  • 7 days high: $ 1 835
  • 7 days price change: 72.86%
  • 30 days low: $ 2.04
  • 30 days high: $ 1 835
  • 30 days price change: 465%
  • 90 days low: $ 1.29
  • 90 days high: $ 1 835
  • Year low: $ 1.29
  • Year high: $ 1 835
  • All time low: $ 1.29
  • All time high: $ 1 835
  • All time max offers: 317
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 19
  • Sales for last 7 days: 114
  • Sales for last 30 days: 555
  • Sales for last 90 days: 853
  • All time sales: 2105
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: -1.77
  • Volatility: 30.04%
  • Liquidity: 3.93%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 6.9
  • Price forecast change in a month: -37.58%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 4.18
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -62.19%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 4.12
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -62.73%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 4.17
  • Price forecast change in a year: -62.28%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 2.33
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.33
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.41
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.08
46.35%
Result
👍 Success
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 2.33
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.33
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.38
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 2.17
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 2.04
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 2.04
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.95
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.28
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.19
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 2.4
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 2.56
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 2.46
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 2.18
Action
🔥 Buy
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.11
Action
🔥 Buy
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 2.22
Action
🔥 Buy
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 3.41
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.08
46.35%
Result
👍 Success
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 10.41
Action
📉 Sell
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 1.08
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 2.33
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
89%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
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UMP-45 | Fade
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UMP-45 | Fade
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Minimal Wear
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46%
From last week
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UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
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Field-Tested
$ 55.15
42%
From last week
20 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
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$ 0.97
43%
From last month
134 offers on 6 markets

Description

The UMP-45 | Primal Saber is a highly underrated submachine gun, with decent versatility in close combat, though the small magazine capacity holds it back. This skin features a striking sabertooth tiger skull, reminding us that even the most fearsome predators will fall someday.

History

History

The UMP-45 | Primal Saber was first added to CS2 on April 27th, 2016. It was released along with the Chroma 3 Case as part of the "Trichromacy" update and featured an extremely striking design that was expertly crafted by the ambitious community designer, ClegFX. Soon enough, it became a popular choice among players due to its apparently fierce, primal inspiration.

Origin

Origin

The UMP-45 | Primal Saber, well-worn, has been pulled from a Chroma 3 Case, a container filled with weapon finishes. This is one of the more striking skins in The Chroma 3 Collection, showing off its primal design and battle-worn texture.

Popularity

Popularity

UMP-45 | Primal Saber(Well-Worn) is one of the most popular skins among CS2 players. Its popularity rating is 90%. Such high desirability comes from a big number of sales and quite high price, making it one of the hottest skins in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Well-Worn) is one out of 237 other SMG skins, which is pretty rare in CS2. The Classed rarity makes the Primal Saber one of the highly wanted drops. However, its drop chance is really low and evaluates around 3.2%.

Availability

Availability

The UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Well-Worn) for CS2 is an affordable option to buy, with its price starting from $1.37 and reaching $21.84. Wide circulation in various markets contributes to the skin being rather easy to get. There are 357.6K units of the Primal Saber in public CS2 inventories today, which speaks volumes about this skin's popularity.

Versions

Versions

The UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Well-Worn) has a wear value in the range of 0.38-0.45 and is generally a bit well-worn. There are all the other exteriors that it comes with, and, of course, a StatTrak is available, too, so the killing with this primals-themed beauty could be kept on track with the counter of killed enemies.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The UMP-45 | Primal Saber has been one of the hottest topics within the CS2 community, and the reception has proven to be overwhelmingly positive with over 5K votes on addskins.gg, averaging 4.7 out of 5 stars. Its value is cemented by the fact that this skin belongs to professional CS2 superstars such as coldzera, s1mple, and adren.

Finish style

Finish style

The UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Well-Worn) was added to CS2 on receipt and features the "Custom Paint Job" style. This skin features the Primal Saber finish that is custom paint job, meaning the look can change with a variety of colors. The predominant color of this skin is the bright cyan tint, though the pattern indexes do not affect the Primal Saber finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 6.9 (-37.58%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 4.18 (-62.19%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 4.12 (-62.73%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 4.17 (-62.28%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.77
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.