UMP-45 | Riot (Battle-Scarred)

4.5 2596 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.01
+3.23%
Last month
$ 0.01
+3.23%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.314
-1.75%
In a quarter
$ 0.351
+9.84%
In half a year
$ 0.422
+31.91%
In a year
$ 0.64
+100.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
80% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
97 offers on 7 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
23 offers
from $ 0.32
White.Market
White.Market
24 offers
from $ 0.38
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
21 offers
from $ 0.41
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
7 offers
from $ 0.42
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
7 offers
from $ 0.429
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
10 offers
from $ 0.434
Bitskins
Bitskins
5 offers
from $ 0.46
Inspect skin
UMP-45 | Riot (Battle-Scarred)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Riot inspecting UMP-45 | Riot reloading UMP-45 | Riot holding UMP-45 | Riot pose-1 UMP-45 | Riot pose-2 UMP-45 | Riot pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.32
  • 7 days low: $ 0.31
  • 7 days high: $ 13.09
  • 7 days price change: 3.23%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.31
  • 30 days high: $ 13.19
  • 30 days price change: 3.23%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.186
  • 90 days high: $ 13.19
  • Year low: $ 0.152
  • Year high: $ 43
  • All time low: $ 0.11
  • All time high: $ 43
  • All time max offers: 259
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 25
  • Sales for last 7 days: 121
  • Sales for last 30 days: 483
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1441
  • All time sales: 4000
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 1.78
  • Volatility: 32.65%
  • Liquidity: 9.49%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.314
  • Price forecast change in a month: -1.75%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.351
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 9.84%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.422
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 31.91%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.64
  • Price forecast change in a year: 100.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Riot (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.27
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.27
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.39
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.12
44.44%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.34
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.34
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.27
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.27
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.238
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.27
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.25
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.24
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.24
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.283
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.31
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 0.3
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 0.35
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 0.36
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 0.32
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.32
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.39
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.12
44.44%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.34
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.34
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.32
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.12
$ 19.98 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.61
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
80%
58% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
44% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.6 4080
In a year 171%
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UMP-45 | Fade
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UMP-45
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$ 51.69
125%
From last month
269 offers on 10 markets
4.8 561065
In half a year -43%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Minimal Wear
$ 67.99
46%
From last week
10 offers on 2 markets
$ 3.78
38%
From last month
96 offers on 9 markets
$ 13.99
66%
From last month
23 offers on 7 markets
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UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Field-Tested
$ 55.15
42%
From last week
20 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 70%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Minimal Wear
$ 0.97
43%
From last month
132 offers on 5 markets

Description

The UMP-45 | Riot (Battle-Scarred) is often underestimated as an SMG, only really hampered by its small magazine capacity. This skin is one of the more striking combinations of hydrographics and heat-transfer decals, creating a unique and aggressive appearance-a reminder of potential collateral damage.

History

History

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Riot, with its battle-scarred appearance, emerged in the Counter-Strike: Global Offensive scene on May 26th, 2015, when it was included in the Falchion Case during "The Hunter and the Hunted" update. This striking skin, crafted by the talented community designer "M1nD," quickly became a sought-after choice for players looking to make a statement on the battlefield.

Origin

Origin

The UMP-45 | Riot, looking a bit battle-scarred, can be obtained by opening a Falchion Case container and is ready to add a little grit to any player's arsenal. The Falchion Collection in which this skin belongs is filled with exclusive and individually designed items, and this piece adds a certain level of intensity to the loadout of any player using it.

Popularity

Popularity

The UMP-45 | Riot (Battle-Scarred) has one of the highest popularity ratings, going for 85%, putting it into the topmost positions among the most popular CS2 skins. It has got the largest number of sales for this skin every day and its market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Riot is part of 237 other SMG skins, which puts it into a rather big pool. Still, its Mil-Spec Grade rarity suggests that the Riot is relatively easy to drop, as the estimated drop chance is 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The UMP-45 | Riot (Battle-Scarred) is an extremely budget skin since its price ranges from $0.17 to $0.78, which makes it extremely available even for a tight budget. Also, this skin is extremely easy to get since it is widely available on different markets and 771.3K units of it are in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the UMP-45 | Riot in CS2 can range between 0.00 and 0.70, which provides opportunities to have every level of wear. Secondly, each variation based on its level of wear includes a version called StatTrak, therefore more collectable in nature.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

This The UMP-45 | Riot has received an enormous amount of attention and appreciation from the CS2 community, receiving over 2.4K votes on addskins.gg and achieving an impressive average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars. Its popularity ranges from casual gamers to pro ones since well-known CS2 personalities like aizy, neo, and zeus showcase this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

The UMP-45 | Riot (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 showcases a "Custom Paint Job" style, featuring a Riot finish that allows for an extensive array of personalized appearances in various vibrant hues. The skin predominantly displays a green tint, while the pattern indexes do not affect the distinctive Riot finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Riot (Battle-Scarred) is expected fall down to $ 0.314 (-1.75%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 0.351 (9.84%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.422 (31.91%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.64 (100.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.57
Max: 0.7
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players