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2 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The UMP-45 | Riot Factory New is a multi-purpose SMG that excels in close combat, only disadvantaged by its small magazine capacity. The unique design, featuring a combination of hydrographics and heat-transfer decals, adds a touch of aggressive flair to your arsenal, reminding your enemies to be more specific if they wish to avoid collateral damage.
The UMP-45 | Riot was first added to CS2 on May 26th, 2015, when it was released in the Falchion Case during the "The Hunter and the Hunted" update. This stunning skin was created by brilliant community designer "M1nD."
The UMP-45 | Riot is one of the most pursued skins in CS2 and can be only obtained by unlocking a Falchion Case container, which offers players a drop chance for all skins of different weapons. It belongs to the Falchion Collection, which is a group of skins in CS: GO that have unique looks, riotous design showcased on the UMP-45.
The UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) has an extremely high popularity rating, standing at a staggering 85%, putting it in the top 15% of the most popular skins within CS2. This percentage is achieved through the volume of sales on a daily basis in relation to the market price.
The UMP-45 | Riot is a rather common skin, with 237 skins in the SMG category of CS2. It boasts a Mil-Spec Grade rarity with an estimated drop chance of 79.92%, further indicating its prevalence in the game.
The UMP-45 | Riot is a pretty affordable Factory New skin for the players of CS2 and costs in the range of $0.17-$0.78. It's one of the most widespread skins and is available for buying on any market. Currently, 771.3K units of this skin are in the public CS2 inventories.
This offers a pretty massive float range to the UMP-45 | Riot, ranging from an impeccable 0.00 to a light-worn 0.70, in which this skin can be enjoyed by players through any exterior variant. There's also a StatTrak version for each exterior of the skin Riot, offering some statistical flair to their arsenal.
UMP-45 | Riot gained quite a lot of support from the community, reaching more than 2.4K votes at addskins.gg, with an average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars. Its popularity extends to professional CS2 players, too, as this skin has been bought and showcased in the inventories of renowned players like aizy, neo, and zeus.
UMP-45 | Riot Factory New from CS2 has "Custom Paint Job" style and Riot finish which can be fully customized with several colors. The majority of this skin is painted greenish color, but in this case pattern indexes do nothing with special riot finish.
According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 0.64 (-8.57%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.62 (-11.43%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.77 (10.0%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 1.43 (104.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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