UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested)

4.5 2562 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.17
+56.67%
Last month
$ 0.17
+56.67%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.408
-7.16%
In a quarter
$ 0.481
+9.23%
In half a year
$ 0.59
+34.09%
In a year
$ 0.9
+105.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
84% - Forecast accuracy
84% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
341 offers on 9 markets
Updated6 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
107 offers
from $ 0.47
White.Market
White.Market
29 offers
from $ 0.47
Bitskins
Bitskins
39 offers
from $ 0.48
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
22 offers
from $ 0.48
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
24 offers
from $ 0.48
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
20 offers
from $ 0.52
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
10 offers
from $ 0.53
Steam
Steam
89 offers
from $ 0.78
CS.DEALS
CS.DEALS
1 offers
from $ 1.7
Inspect skin
UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Riot inspecting UMP-45 | Riot reloading UMP-45 | Riot holding UMP-45 | Riot pose-1 UMP-45 | Riot pose-2 UMP-45 | Riot pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.47
  • 24h price change: 30.56%
  • 7 days low: $ 0.3
  • 7 days high: $ 100
  • 7 days price change: 56.67%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.3
  • 30 days high: $ 100
  • 30 days price change: 56.67%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.3
  • 90 days high: $ 100
  • Year low: $ 0.21
  • Year high: $ 200
  • All time low: $ 0.06
  • All time high: $ 200
  • All time max offers: 852
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 76
  • Sales for last 7 days: 725
  • Sales for last 30 days: 2771
  • Sales for last 90 days: 7001
  • All time sales: 19553
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 7.02
  • Volatility: 10.67%
  • Liquidity: 12.93%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.408
  • Price forecast change in a month: -7.16%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.481
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 9.23%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.59
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 34.09%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.9
  • Price forecast change in a year: 105.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.458
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.458
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.458
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.458
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.414
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.406
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.41
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.39
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.39
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.39
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.43
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 0.52
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 0.48
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 0.37
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 0.38
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.42
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.43
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.37
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.4
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.458
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
84%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
84%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
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UMP-45 | Fade
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UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Minimal Wear
$ 68
46%
From last week
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From last month
89 offers on 9 markets
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From last month
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UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Field-Tested
$ 55.17
42%
From last week
19 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Minimal Wear
$ 0.97
43%
From last month
134 offers on 6 markets

Description

UMP-45 | Riot is an SMG powerhouse, designed to be at the top of the heap in close-quarters combat and capable of offering consistent automatic fire. The sole disadvantage lies in the meager magazine capacity. With its highly distinctive design combined with hydrographic and heat-transfer decals, it brings an extra level of aggressiveness to any loadout-an indication that those opponents who'd rather not get caught in collateral damage should really specify.

History

History

The UMP-45 | Riot first made its way onto the virtual battlefields of CS2 on May 26th, 2015, when it was released in the Falchion Case during the update "The Hunter and the Hunted." This striking skin, crafted by the talented community designer "M1nD," has since become a highly sought-after choice for players who want to make a bold statement on the field of combat.

Origin

Origin

This model of UMP-45 | Riot can be obtained by opening the container Falchion Case, where lucky players could get the skin inside it. UMP-45 | Riot is no different from many others included in the Falchion Collection. Its unique design and touch of a rebellion atmosphere gave this UMP-45 nice coloring.

Popularity

Popularity

Due to this, and bearing in mind that it has excellent saleability for almost any day, UMP-45 | Riot managed easily to get in the top 15% of the most popular CS2 skins and boasts an enviable rating of 85% popularity.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Riot is a Mil-Spec Grade skin. It is one of the more common skins in CS2, with an estimated drop chance of 79.92% out of the other 237 SMG skins.

Availability

Availability

UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) is an economically friendly skin tagged at between $0.17 and $0.78, which many players can afford. Really popular due to the fact that this skin is available in almost all markets, at this time there are 771.3K units of this skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The range of the float value for the UMP-45 | Riot skin is from 0.00 to 0.70 in Field-Tested condition and will let players enjoy this skin in all available exteriors. Equally for collectors and enthusiasts, there is a StatTrak variant of the Riot skin for each exterior.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The UMP-45 | Riot has gained a very positive community sentiment, with an average rating of 4.5 stars out of 5 based on over 2.4K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further underlined by the fact that it is owned by such famous professional CS2 players as aizy, neo, and zeus.

Finish style

Finish style

This UMP-45 | Riot skin in CS2 features a "Custom Paint Job" style, and with the Riot finish, there's a wide variety of looks in vibrant colors that can be had. The dominating color of this skin is an eye-catching green tint, while pattern indexes do not alter the Riot finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) is expected fall down to $ 0.408 (-7.16%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 0.481 (9.23%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.59 (34.09%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.9 (105.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.26
Max: 0.7
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players