UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear)

4.5 2562 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.1
+30.3%
Last month
$ 0.11
+34.37%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.413
+0.8%
In a quarter
$ 0.469
+14.34%
In half a year
$ 0.56
+36.59%
In a year
$ 0.75
+82.93%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
25% - Forecast accuracy
25% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
251 offers on 10 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
32 offers
from $ 0.43
Skinport
Skinport
46 offers
from $ 0.45
White.Market
White.Market
2 offers
from $ 0.47
Bitskins
Bitskins
20 offers
from $ 0.477
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
17 offers
from $ 0.51
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
33 offers
from $ 0.51
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
24 offers
from $ 0.51
CS.DEALS
CS.DEALS
1 offers
from $ 0.6
Steam
Steam
74 offers
from $ 0.83
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
2 offers
from $ 0.9
Inspect skin
UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Riot inspecting UMP-45 | Riot reloading UMP-45 | Riot holding UMP-45 | Riot pose-1 UMP-45 | Riot pose-2 UMP-45 | Riot pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.43
  • 24h price change: 10.26%
  • 7 days low: $ 0.33
  • 7 days high: $ 13.99
  • 7 days price change: 30.3%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.32
  • 30 days high: $ 13.99
  • 30 days price change: 34.37%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.28
  • 90 days high: $ 13.99
  • Year low: $ 0.26
  • Year high: $ 1 332
  • All time low: $ 0.15
  • All time high: $ 1 332
  • All time max offers: 385
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 40
  • Sales for last 7 days: 316
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1369
  • Sales for last 90 days: 3423
  • All time sales: 9576
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 3.3
  • Volatility: 14.71%
  • Liquidity: 14.35%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.413
  • Price forecast change in a month: 0.8%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.469
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 14.34%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.56
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 36.59%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.75
  • Price forecast change in a year: 82.93%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.414
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.414
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.414
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.414
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.43
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.351
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.32
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.29
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.32
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.41
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.41
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 0.46
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 0.47
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 0.4
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 0.44
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.49
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.38
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.4
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.41
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.414
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
25%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
25%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.6 4080
In a year 170%
UMP-45 | Blaze
Mil-Spec Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Blaze
Factory New
$ 84.6
55%
From last month
19 offers on 6 markets
$ 0.02
100%
From last month
1629 offers on 5 markets
$ 0.04
60%
From last month
345 offers on 5 markets
4.8 561114
In half a year -51%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Factory New
$ 52.27
128%
From last month
338 offers on 10 markets
4.8 561065
In half a year -32%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Minimal Wear
$ 68
46%
From last week
10 offers on 3 markets
$ 3.78
38%
From last month
89 offers on 9 markets
$ 13.99
66%
From last month
27 offers on 8 markets
4.9 6190
In a year 213%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Field-Tested
$ 55.17
42%
From last week
19 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Minimal Wear
$ 0.97
43%
From last month
134 offers on 6 markets

Description

The UMP-45 | Riot is a highly underrated submachine gun, great for close combat with its versatility and accuracy. This SMG features a unique design with hydrographics and heat-transfer decals, making it different in looks and showing its potential to cause destruction.

History

History

The UMP-45 | Riot entered the Counter-Strike: Global Offensive community on May 26th, 2015, with the release of the Falchion Case, where this skin was presented for the first time. Created by the incredibly talented community artist "M1nD," this skin became super popular almost instantly due to its grim and belligerent look, thus becoming highly demanded among the in-game players as a sign of some distinctive mannerism in the virtual field.

Origin

Origin

The UMP-45 | Riot is a great skin with a sleek, menacing design, making it one of the most sought-after skins in CS2. This skin can be found by opening a container called Falchion Case, which has different finishes on unique weapons. This is one of the highly appreciated additions to The Falchion Collection, a set of skins that have been popularly known for their distinct aesthetics and rarity.

Popularity

Popularity

The UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) is one of the most popular skins in CS2, with an incredible popularity of 85%. This puts it within the top 15% of the most sought-after items in the game, based on its daily sales volume and market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Riot is one of 237 other SMG skins, making it a rather common find in CS2. Being of Mil-Spec Grade rarity, it has an estimated drop chance of 79.92%, further stating how often it would come across in-game.

Availability

Availability

The UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) for CS2 is very cheap, from $0.17 to $0.78, and can be easily found in any market. Its popularity can be judged by the fact that there are 771.3K units of the Riot skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the UMP-45 | Riot in Minimal Wear condition ranges from 0.07 to 0.15, which ensures that this skin will look very well-preserved with minimal wear. This skin is available in all exteriors, including StatTrak versions, which enable players to track their kills in style.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

UMP-45 | Riot boasts a really good community feeling with over 2.4K votes on addskins.gg and an outstanding average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars. As for professional CS2 players, the following list contains aizy, neo, and zeus who are known to have this skin in their inventory.

Finish style

Finish style

This UMP-45 has a Riot finish, with a completely unique and custom look-a vibrant green tint that makes it stand out. The riot finish will keep the same pattern for any index, allowing consistency in its eye-catching design.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 0.413 (0.8%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 0.469 (14.34%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.56 (36.59%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.75 (82.93%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.7
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players