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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Riot (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The UMP-45 | Riot is an underrated submachine gun that excels in close combat with only magazine capacity holding it back. This weapon features a one-of-a-kind hydrographic and heat-transfer decal combination, serving as a reminder of mayhem it would have caused when used by skillful and sure hands.
The StatTrak UMP-45 | Riot, with its battle-scarred appearance, emerged in the Counter-Strike: Global Offensive scene on May 26th, 2015, when it was included in the Falchion Case during "The Hunter and the Hunted" update. This striking skin, crafted by the talented community designer "M1nD," quickly became a sought-after choice for players looking to make a statement on the battlefield.
The UMP-45 | Riot is a battle-scarred skin that opens from Falchion Case container, one of the most effective ways to receive a rare Cs: GO in-game weapon skins. This appearance belongs to an exclusive Falchion Collection; it is created as a range of spectacular CS2 finishes that have raised huge interest in players.
UMP-45 | Riot is a very popular skin in CS2, earning an 85% popularity rating; therefore, this gun is in the Top 15% of all skins presented in this game. For this assessment, the skin's daily sales volume and its market value were considered, meaning this skin is very popular and desirable within the community.
The UMP-45 | Riot is a relatively middle-of-the-pack skin when compared to other 237 SMG skins in CS2. Being a Mil-Spec Grade skin, this skin drops fairly commonly, boasting an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.
The well-worn version of the UMP-45 | Riot skin is relatively cheap, falling within a price range of $0.17-$0.78. This popular skin is pretty easy to get your hands on due to its high availability in various markets and as many as 771.3K units circulating in public CS2 inventories.
The float value for the UMP-45 | Riot (Well-Worn) in CS2 ranges from 0.38 to 0.45, giving the skin a well-worn look with numerous scratches and wear marks. Most importantly, the StatTrak version of the Riot is available in every exterior skin, allowing players to track their kills in style.
The UMP-45 | Riot has become a very popular firearm in the community, having a rating of 4.5 stars out of 5, based on more than 2.4K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity can also be judged by the fact that it is owned by famous professional CS2 players aizy, neo, and zeus.
This CS2 UMP-45 | Riot (Well-Worn) skin has the 'Custom Paint Job' style and 'Riot' finish-a great option for those who want to customize a look in many colors. The dominant shade of this appearance features a pretty distinctive green tint. In this appearance, the indexes of the pattern don't change the look of the Riot skin.
According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Riot (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 0.415 (-11.79%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 0.473 (0.64%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.6 (27.66%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.94 (100.0%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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