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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) is underrated because it has a low magazine capacity, but when in close quarters, it is quite adaptable, making it very formidable. The sun-dappled pattern sprayed painted is reminiscent of the phoenix that rises from the ashes, symbolizing not its destruction but rather its potential to be a renewal of transformation.
The UMP-45 | Scorched appeared in the virtual fields of CS2 on July 1st, 2014, courtesy of the Paris 2023 Overpass Souvenir Package, which accompanied the really exciting "Operation Breakout" update. Ever since, this battle-scarred version of the UMP-45 has been a badge of gritty perseverance, showing wear and tear earned by skilled players who have weathered countless engagements.
The UMP-45 | Scorched is well-battled, a skin that can be obtained from any of the 17 containers it's housed in, such as through the Antwerp 2022 Overpass Souvenir Package, Atlanta 2017 Overpass Souvenir Package, and Berlin 2019 Overpass Souvenir Package. Moreover, it is part of The Overpass Collection, making it extremely popular among CS2 skins.
The UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) holds an impressive status among CS2 skins, which is a very popular one as it occupies the 65% of all sales volume for a day and having its market price.
The UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) is one of 237 available skins for SMG in CS2. Due to its Consumer Grade rarity classification, this skin is rather common and can be frequently encountered while playing the game.
The UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) for CS2 has a pretty cheap price tag, starting at $0.01 and topping at $4.13. As such, this well-affordable skin is very easy to get since it's widely presented on different markets, and currently, 498.4K units of this skin are stored in public CS2 inventories.
The float value of the UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 ranges from 0.06 to 0.80, which means a player can get this skin in any condition. Furthermore, a souvenir version of the Scorched is available in every available exterior for collectors.
The UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) has more than 5.6K votes on addskins.gg and an average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars, which is a very good rating. Moreover, the skin is highly valued because it belongs to such famous professional CS2 players as fallen and snax, which adds to its popularity and community sentiment.
This Battle-Scarred UMP-45 | Scorched features a more realistic Spray-Paint style, with the weapon wearing detailed stencil patterns with intricately applied multiple layers of paint. The general gray tone gives the piece a grimy and used feel, while the unique pattern index adds some individuality to each skin, making the Scorched finish unique.
According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) is expected fall down to $ 0.434 (-5.61%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.402 (-12.54%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.327 (-28.91%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 0.193 (-58.13%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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