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6 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New) works well in tight spaces, with versatility only somewhat hindered by its limited magazine capacity. Its sun-dappled pattern was spray-painted with meticulous detail, symbolizing not destruction but the possibility for rebirth and revolution, from the mind of a true visionary, Valeria Jenner.
The UMP-45 | Scorched was first added to Counter-Strike: Global Offensive on July 1st, 2014, when it was released as part of the Paris 2023 Overpass Souvenir Package. It was released alongside the highly hyped "Operation Breakout" update, adding new maps, missions, and skins for weapons.
The UMP-45 | Scorched could be obtained in Factory New condition by opening one of the 17 containers that it comes in, including Antwerp 2022 Overpass Souvenir Package, Atlanta 2017 Overpass Souvenir Package, and Berlin 2019 Overpass Souvenir Package. Also part of The Overpass Collection, it makes this skin so well-liked among CS2 players.
The Factory New UMP-45 | Scorched is highly in demand within the CS2 community, with an astonishing popularity rating of 85%. This can be further reiterated by its high sales volume and the price this skin demands in the market.
The UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New) is a skin from 237 other SMG skins that exist in CS2. This skin belongs to the Consumer Grade rarity and is relatively common; it pops up rather frequently in-game.
The UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New) skin allows players of CS2 to show their skills without breaking the bank, as the price ranges from $0.01-$4.13. The skin is very easy to get because it's widely available in various markets and has a rather high amount of 498.4K units circulating in public CS2 inventories.
The float value for the UMP-45 | Scorched in Factory New condition ranges from 0.06 to 0.80, which allows this skin to be pulled in every exterior quality for players. And for each of these exterior qualities, there is a version corresponding to the Scorched as a Souvenir variant.
The UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New) has garnered a strong community sentiment with a significant number of votes on addskins.gg, resulting in an impressive average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is further reinforced by the fact that renowned professional CS2 players fallen and snax have chosen to own this skin.
This UMP-45 features a Scorched finish that gives this gun such a rugged, worn look, as if it had been out in intense heat and scorching. Gray is the predominant tone of the weapon, with subtle variation and patterning caused by the multiple coats of spray paint through stencils to create this unique, weathered look.
According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 7.79 (-3.11%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 9.41 (17.04%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 7.82 (-2.74%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 11.71 (45.65%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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