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5 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The UMP-45 | Scorched is a multi-use SMG that performs especially well in close combat situations. Its only weakness is its small magazine capacity. The sun-dappled pattern, skillfully spray-painted, is not an omen of devastation but one of rebirth and change in position.
The UMP-45 | Scorched was released on July 1st, 2014, being introduced as part of the Paris 2023 Overpass Souvenir Package that was included with the "Operation Breakout" update. Ever since then, it has received a great reception among players by virtue of its unique scorched skin and a good performance within close combat circumstances.
The UMP-45 | Scorched is one of the most popular skins in CS2, opening from such cases as Antwerp 2022 Overpass Souvenir Package, Atlanta 2017 Overpass Souvenir Package, and Berlin 2019 Overpass Souvenir Package. Besides, this skin relates to The Overpass Collection, so it is one of the most significant things a player should add to his inventory.
The UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested) has high demand in the CS2 community, rated at 65%, which is quite high. This is due to its high market availability controlled by its regular sales volume every day and the stable price the skin enjoys.
The UMP-45 | Scorched is one of the 237 SMG skins in CS2. This skin is classified under Consumer Grade, which is considered quite common and may be very frequently encountered throughout the game.
UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested) is a relatively inexpensive skin, thus being affordable for almost all CS2 players. Its price starts at $0.01 and reaches $4.13, which makes it pretty easy to obtain due to its wide availability on different markets. Currently, there are 498.4K units of the Scorched in public CS2 inventories.
The float value of the UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested) in CS2 ranges from 0.06 to 0.80, which makes this skin available in all wear conditions. Besides, for every exterior, there is also a Souvenir version of the Scorched skin that is in the arsenal of collectors who managed to get such a variant.
The UMP-45 | Scorched received pretty positive community votes and a pretty good average rating at addskins.gg. Also, this fact is confirmed by its ownership of the renowned professional CS2 players, such as fallen and snax, which adds to its desirability among fans and collectors.
The UMP-45 | Scorched features a Spray-Paint style in CS: GO and a finish of Scorched. Different gray stencils have been applied over one another to paint this weapon in numerous coats, lending a special weathered feel to the skin. The pattern index of this particular skin has some influence on its overall look and feel regarding the Scorched finish.
According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested) is expected fall down to $ 0.347 (-6.16%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.305 (-17.68%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.218 (-41.05%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 0.194 (-47.7%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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