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3 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Scorched (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The UMP-45 | Scorched remains one of the reliable SMGs that excel very well in close-range combat because it is maneuverable and allows good accuracy regardless of its fewer magazine capacities. Sun-dappled pattern with precise spraypaint evokes thoughts of rebirth over destruction-an aspect of meaning conveyed by revolutionary Valeria Jenner.
The UMP-45 | Scorched first appeared in CS2 on July 1st, 2014, being released as part of the Paris 2023 Overpass Souvenir Package. This sleek, battle-worn submachine gun immediately found favor with players due to its unique aesthetic and scorched markings, carrying with it a bit of history in the game.
The Minimal Wear version of UMP-45 | Scorched is an extremely rare skin, which can be only obtained by opening any of 17 containers featuring this skin, among which are Antwerp 2022 Overpass Souvenir Package, Atlanta 2017 Overpass Souvenir Package, and Berlin 2019 Overpass Souvenir Package. This skin also belongs to the large set of skins called The Overpass Collection and gives a player a chance to get it into his arsenal.
The UMP-45 | Scorched (Minimal Wear) is popular; it is estimated at 65% popularity in CS2. This estimate considers the skin's daily sales volume and its market price, which shows high demand from players.
The UMP-45 | Scorched (Minimal Wear) is one of 237 other skins for SMG weapons in CS2. Being of the Consumer Grade rarity class, it is one of the more commonly encountered skins while playing the game.
The UMP-45 | Scorched Minimal Wear for CS2 represents one of the pretty cheap in-game skins, available between $0.01-$4.13. It is considered an easy skin to get because it is widely available in various markets, and the total number of UMP-45 | Scorched skin in public CS2 inventories counts about 498.4K units.
Such, the float value for UMP-45 | Scorched in Minimal Wear condition is included in a range from 0.06 to 0.80, which allows players to get this skin in different stages of wear. Besides, collectors are able to find a Souvenir version of Scorched in every available exterior option.
The UMP-45 | Scorched has been met with an extremely positive community sentiment, receiving a very large number of votes on addskins.gg, averaging 4.5 out of 5 stars. This is further supported by the fact that it belongs to two popular professional CS2 players, fallen and snax, which proves its appeal among competitive gamers.
The UMP-45 | Scorched Minimal Wear has a Spray-Paint style finish, mainly gray with a pattern featuring several layers of spray paint over a stencil pattern. This finish gives the weapon a highly textured, worn look. The listed pattern index allows for subtle variation in the Scorched finish on this weapon.
According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Scorched (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 0.86 (-3.37%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.76 (-14.61%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.55 (-38.2%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.92 (3.37%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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