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2 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Scorched (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The UMP-45 | Scorched (Well-Worn) is a good, versatile SMG, especially in close combat, and doesn't share many real negatives other than the low magazine capacity. Sun-dappled, the pattern spray-painted onto it reaches out to remind us that the Phoenix-a creature of myth-represents less the destructive profile than it does one of potential rebirth and change.
The UMP-45 | Scorched appeared for the first time on the virtual fields of CS2 on July 1st, 2014, which means nine years ago. This worn-out skin was released with the Paris 2023 Overpass Souvenir Package, on the same day as the thrilling "Operation Breakout" update.
The UMP-45 | Scorched, worn-out skin can be obtained via the opening of any containers carrying the skin. They include the Antwerp 2022 Overpass Souvenir Package, the Atlanta 2017 Overpass Souvenir Package, and Berlin 2019 Overpass Souvenir Package. It is featured in The Overpass Collection; that's where the high desire to buy from collectors and the gamers as a whole stems.
UMP-45 | Scorched (Well-Worn) recently gained a high interest in CS2 and has an impressive 65% of the popularity rate. Such estimation was calculated considering its daily sales volume and market price, indicating it is rather demanded skin in this game.
The UMP-45 | Scorched (Well-Worn) is one of 237 other SMG skins existing in CS2. This Scorched skin, in a well-worn version, has Consumer Grade rarity, which makes it pretty common to get in-game.
The UMP-45 | Scorched (Well-Worn) is an affordable option for CS2 players, with prices ranging from $0.01 to $4.13. This skin is available in many markets, so it's easy to get it. Moreover, there are 498.4K units of the Scorched skin in public CS2 inventories, which means this skin is very popular among players.
The float value ranges from 0.06 to 0.80, and because of this, players are able to get the UMP-45 | Scorched Well-Worn skin in many different conditions. The Souvenir version of the skin also exists for every exterior variation of the Scorched UMP-45.
The UMP-45 | Scorched has had a lot of attention within the CS2 community, receiving over 5.6K votes on addskins.gg, with an amazing average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is further boosted by the fact that professional players fallen and snax have chosen to own this skin.
This UMP-45 has the "Spray-Paint" style, using the Scorched finish with a layering of spray paint applied through stencil patterns. The mainly gray hues of the paint give the gun a weathered and used look, while the pattern index brings variation to the Scorched finish.
According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Scorched (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 0.442 (-1.76%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.412 (-8.44%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.458 (1.87%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.63 (40.0%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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