★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)

4.5 2710 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 35.4
+38.65%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 145
+14.16%
In a quarter
$ 146
+14.94%
In half a year
$ 148
+16.52%
In a year
$ 166
+30.69%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
56% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
25% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
104 offers on 10 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)
Gallery
★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 127
  • 7 days low: $ 127
  • 7 days high: $ 615
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 91.6
  • 30 days high: $ 679
  • 30 days price change: 38.65%
  • 90 days low: $ 91.6
  • 90 days high: $ 800
  • Year low: $ 91.6
  • Year high: $ 135 000
  • All time low: $ 91.6
  • All time high: $ 135 000
  • All time max offers: 204
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 3
  • Sales for last 7 days: 40
  • Sales for last 30 days: 134
  • Sales for last 90 days: 173
  • All time sales: 339
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: 0.2629
  • Volatility: 13.32%
  • Liquidity: 4.04%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 145
  • Price forecast change in a month: 14.16%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 146
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 14.94%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 148
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 16.52%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 166
  • Price forecast change in a year: 30.69%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 181
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 181
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 169
Action
✋ Hold
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 168
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -13.22
-7.30%
Result
👎 Fail
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 174
Action
❌ Avoid
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 174
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 174
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 174
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.01
-0.00573700%
Result
👎 Fail
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 174
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 174
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 169
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -5.1
-2.93%
Result
👎 Fail
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 169
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 102
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 102
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 149
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 46.82
45.83%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 181
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 181
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 133
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 155
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 116
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 136
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 169
Action
✋ Hold
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 168
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -13.22
-7.30%
Result
👎 Fail
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 174
Action
❌ Avoid
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 174
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 174
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 174
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.01
-0.00573700%
Result
👎 Fail
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 174
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 174
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 169
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -5.1
-2.93%
Result
👎 Fail
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 169
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 167
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 102
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 102
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 149
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 46.82
45.83%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 28.49
$ 19.98 - avg*
Invested***
$ 632
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
4
Sell count
4
Success count
1
Fail count
3

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
56%
58% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
44% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
25%
79% - avg*
Related
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Description

History

History

The ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) appeared in the CS2 world on August 1st, 2018, with the "A New Horizon" update, which brought the Danger Zone Case. Due to its different pattern of Case Hardened and beautiful shades of blue and gold colors, it drew a lot of attention from collectors and players, turning into one of the hottest positions in the in-game cosmetic market.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) is one of the knife skins that are considered rare, exclusively opened through Danger Zone Case or Horizon Case containers in CS2. Besides, it doesn't fit into any collections, which positions the item as very unique and popular among collectors and players.

Popularity

Popularity

The ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened is very popular among CS: GO players. It has a popularity assessment of 90%. Such high popularity is due to its daily sales volume and price of this particular skin.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) is one of the 391 other Knife skins, and its rarity is Covert; hence, it is an ultra-rare drop with an estimated drop chance of just 0.26%. Getting this Case Hardened at battle-scarred means truly the most remarkable luck because such scarcity is highly in demand amongst collectors and enthusiasts alike.

Availability

Availability

The ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) belongs to higher-priced skins, which cost in a range of $160.33-$515.97. It is rather widely available, though, because this skin is present on many markets. Besides, considering that about 5.3K units of this skin are present in public CS2 inventories, there is a pretty good chance for any player to get this skin for the knife.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the Case Hardened version of the ★ Ursus Knife in CS2 ranges from 0.45-1.00, thus making this version battle-scarred with heavy wear and tear visible in the form of deep scratches and abrasions. Yet, however battle-scarred it might be, this particular skin is obtainable in all its various exteriors and also has a StatTrak version for each of the several types.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

This skin ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) received extremely high feedback from users. In the case when more than 2.6K people have voted on addskins.gg, the average rating of 4.5 out of 5 star points is truly impressive. For your information, this desirable skin currently belongs to fang-a professional CS2 player among the best ones.

Finish style

Finish style

This Battle-Scarred Ursus Knife features an extremely attractive "Patina" style, Case Hardened finish that emulates the look of a variety of real-world weapon patinas achieved with case hardening, cold bluing, and acid forced patinas. A pattern index utilized in the Case Hardened finish adds a layer of depth to this element's appearance.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) is expected grow to $ 145 (14.16%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 146 (14.94%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 148 (16.52%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 166 (30.69%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.72
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players