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1 minute ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened first appeared in CS2 on August 1, 2018, when it was added together with other knife skins. This popular knife was included in the Danger Zone Case, which came with the highly anticipated "A New Horizon" update, impressing players with its peculiar and complex patterns of blue dye on the blade.
The ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is one of those ultra-rare and highly sought-after skins within CS2, obtainable only by opening Danger Zone Case or Horizon Case. As with other skins, it does not form any collection; hence, this piece is quite unique and exclusive for collectors and enthusiasts.
This is reinforced by the fact that the ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened Factory New has an acquisitiveness rate of 90% and can retain the highest sales volume and a far higher price within the CS2 community, ranking it among the most pursued items in the game.
The ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened Factory New is a part of 391 knife skins in CS2, yet it has Covert rarity - ultra rare drop with only 0.26% estimated chance to drop.
Well, the ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened Factory New is one of the highly demanded skins within CS2, adding a price of $160.33-$515.97. Despite its expensive price, this skin is currently in wide supply across numerous different markets and can be purchased by anyone who wants to have the skin in their inventory. About 5.3K units of Case Hardened are currently found in public CS2 inventories; hence, it is considered one of the highly popular skins among players.
Float Value ranges from 0.00 to 1.00, which means the skin is available in all exterior versions, including Blue Gem patterns. And for real collectors and enthusiasts, a StatTrak version of Case Hardened exists in each exterior, adding a touch of rarity and prestige to the knife.
As for CS2, the ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened has received extremely positive feedback from the community, being rated 4.5/5 stars over more than 2.6K votes on addskins.gg. Moreover, this skin is prestigious since it belongs to the famous CS2 player fang, which again increases the demand and community sentiment.
This Factory New Ursus Knife boasts a really striking "Case Hardened" finish with a great swirl of vivid blues and golds. The pattern index definitely takes a large part in how the knife looks, creating unique and intricate designs that make this knife really pop on the battlefield.
According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 333 (-0.91%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 304 (-9.54%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 272 (-19.06%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 324 (-3.59%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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