★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)

4.5 2702 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 5
+3.94%
Last month
$ 41.91
+46.52%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 142
+5.26%
In a quarter
$ 145
+7.49%
In half a year
$ 144
+6.75%
In a year
$ 160
+18.61%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
17% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
112 offers on 10 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)
Gallery
★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 132
  • 24h price change: 0.76%
  • 7 days low: $ 127
  • 7 days high: $ 878
  • 7 days price change: 3.94%
  • 30 days low: $ 90.09
  • 30 days high: $ 1 001
  • 30 days price change: 46.52%
  • 90 days low: $ 90.09
  • 90 days high: $ 2 330
  • Year low: $ 90.09
  • Year high: $ 34 724
  • All time low: $ 90.09
  • All time high: $ 34 724
  • All time max offers: 258
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 7
  • Sales for last 7 days: 52
  • Sales for last 30 days: 262
  • Sales for last 90 days: 308
  • All time sales: 603
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 0.1417
  • Volatility: 44.88%
  • Liquidity: 3.73%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 142
  • Price forecast change in a month: 5.26%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 145
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 7.49%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 144
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 6.75%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 160
  • Price forecast change in a year: 18.61%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 206
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 206
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 190
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -15.83
-7.68%
Result
👎 Fail
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 189
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 206
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 206
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 199
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 176
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 175
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 175
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 184
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 189
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 184
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 191
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 191
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 185
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 190
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -15.83
-7.68%
Result
👎 Fail
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 189
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 194
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 126
Action
❌ Avoid
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 142
Action
❌ Avoid
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -15.83
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 206
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
17%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened first appeared in CS2 on August 1, 2018, when it was added together with other knife skins. This popular knife was included in the Danger Zone Case, which came with the highly anticipated "A New Horizon" update, impressing players with its peculiar and complex patterns of blue dye on the blade.

Origin

Origin

In-game, the ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened features an awesome blue pattern on the blade and is available by opening a container for Danger Zone Case or Horizon Case in CS2. Other knives usually come with collections, but not this one, hence it's pretty exceptional in-game.

Popularity

Popularity

The most wanted skin in CS2 games is ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested), since this skin got the percentage of 90% for its popularity. Thus, its popularity is confirmed by a lot of sales and quite a big market price, positioning it as one of the most sought-after skins in-game.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) is one of only 391 different skins for the knife in CS2. This particular variation of the Case Hardened, which comes with the Covert rarity, is ultra-rare, dropping at just an estimated 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened, Field-Tested skin for CS2 costs a bit more (from $160.33 to $515.97), but it is widely available since it is possible to get this skin in different markets. Already there are more than 5.3K units of the Case Hardened skin present in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened ranges from 0.00 to 1.00, which allows for a great selection of patterns and levels of wear, which appeals to collectors. Furthermore, with each exterior, there is a StatTrak version available, adding a different tracking feature to the already wanted Case Hardened design.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Speaking of community interest in ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened, this skin has more than 2.6K votes on addskins.gg and an astonishing average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars. Its popularity extends to professional players as well, since it is currently in the possession of the well-known CS: GO player- fang.

Finish style

Finish style

The Case Hardened finish applied to this field-tested Ursus knife is gorgeous. If the bohea staining process was done carefully, it would resemble something like this. The pattern index makes all the difference in the world with this, as shades of blue into purple, even hints of gold, make for an interesting and dynamic pattern.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) is expected grow to $ 142 (5.26%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 145 (7.49%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 144 (6.75%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 160 (18.61%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.26
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players