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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened first appeared in CS2 on August 1st, 2018, as part of the Danger Zone Case. This knife immediately got popular after its release because of its Case Hardened skin, which features bright blue patterns like a clear summer sky.
The ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is probably one of the rarest and most wanted skins in CS2, famous for its unique pattern of a blue gem. It can only be dropped from cases like Danger Zone Case or Horizon Case, which makes this skin highly popular in the community of CS2 fans.
The popularity rating of the ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is very high and amounts to 90%, which makes this item one of the most popular ones in the game. This is judged based on the statistical assessment of its daily sales volume and market value of the skin, hence pointing out that it is highly desired.
The ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is one of the other 391 Knife skins existing in CS2. Its rarity, however, is Covert, hence ultra rare, with an estimated drop chance of just 0.26%. Getting this very well-worn Case Hardened variant is a very sought-after and extremely rare find among collectors and players alike.
The prices of the ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) for CS2 skins start from $160.33 to $515.97, which is rather expensive. Still, this skin is widely available in various markets at this moment. There are already more than 5.3K units of the Case Hardened in public CS2 inventories.
Float Value of the ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened ranges from 0.38 to 0.45, giving it a slightly worn appearance. Scratches and wear patterns are more easily distinguished on the blade and handle. Additionally, there is a StatTrak version of the Well-Worn ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened that allows players to track their kills with that unique skin.
The ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened is so popular among the CS2 players community. That may be proved by a large number of 2.6K votes on addskins.gg with an average rating of 4.5 out of five stars. Moreover, even professional players love it because fang, a popular CS2 player, has it in his collection.
This battle-worn Ursus Knife features a striking Case Hardened finish, with a unique pattern index that will affect its appearance. The case hardening process involves applying a combination of high-temperature heating with a carbon-rich material 'pack' to the low-carbon metallic surfaces, which produces a hard, wear-resistant outer layer. The result is a truly one-of-a-kind patina, affected differently by every owner's experience, with blue and gold hues reminiscent of real-life weapon patinas like case hardening, cold bluing, and acid forced patinas.
According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 125 (-0.4063%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 126 (0.3904%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 128 (1.98%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 149 (18.72%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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