★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New)

4.7 1325 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 182
+223%
Last month
$ 182
+223%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 319
+16.7%
In a quarter
$ 346
+26.57%
In half a year
$ 330
+20.72%
In a year
$ 241
-11.84%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
87% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
246 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
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Inspect skin
★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Ursus Knife | Fade inspecting ★ Ursus Knife | Fade holding ★ Ursus Knife | Fade pose-1 ★ Ursus Knife | Fade pose-2 ★ Ursus Knife | Fade pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 263
  • 24h price change: 223.0%
  • 7 days low: $ 81.49
  • 7 days high: $ 770
  • 7 days price change: 223%
  • 30 days low: $ 81.49
  • 30 days high: $ 1 175
  • 30 days price change: 223%
  • 90 days low: $ 81.49
  • 90 days high: $ 1 185
  • Year low: $ 81.49
  • Year high: $ 79 839
  • All time low: $ 81.49
  • All time high: $ 79 839
  • All time max offers: 447
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 11
  • Sales for last 7 days: 80
  • Sales for last 30 days: 325
  • Sales for last 90 days: 407
  • All time sales: 804
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 0.373
  • Volatility: 26.38%
  • Liquidity: 4.17%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 319
  • Price forecast change in a month: 16.7%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 346
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 26.57%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 330
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 20.72%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 241
  • Price forecast change in a year: -11.84%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 470
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 454
Action
📉 Sell
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 443
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 445
Action
📉 Sell
October 6, 2025
Price
$ 125
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 125
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 276
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 151
120.87%
Result
👍 Success
November 1, 2025
Price
$ 470
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 467
Action
❌ Avoid
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 449
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 421
Action
❌ Avoid
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 427
Action
❌ Avoid
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 412
Action
❌ Avoid
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 432
Action
❌ Avoid
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 433
Action
❌ Avoid
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 435
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 454
Action
📉 Sell
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 443
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 432
Action
❌ Avoid
September 28, 2025
Price
$ 445
Action
📉 Sell
October 6, 2025
Price
$ 461
Action
📉 Sell
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 125
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 125
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 276
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 151
120.87%
Result
👍 Success
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 151
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 125
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
87%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Related
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Description

History

History

The ★ Ursus Knife | Fade was brought into the world of CS2 on August 1st, 2018, when it first emerged into the Danger Zone Case. Its emergence in the game paralleled the "A New Horizon" update, which had brought a whole wave of freshness into the game.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Ursus Knife | Fade is a rare skin for the knife, which drops from opening a container Danger Zone Case or Horizon Case in CS2. It is not part of any collection, making this skin one of the hottest pulls among collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

The ★ Ursus Knife | Fade holds good demand and has a popularity rating of 95%. This is because of its rarity factor and its awesome look, which makes this in-game item highly in demand among CS2 in-game consumers. This assessment in the popularity of this particular knife was backed by analysis based on daily volume of sales and market value.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Ursus Knife | Fade is part of the 391 available skins for Knife in CS2, which makes it super popular among cosmetic enthusiasts. Skin has Covert rarity class, making it ultra rare and estimated drop chance is 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The ★ Ursus Knife | Fade is a pretty popular skin in high demand; its price varies from $679.51 to $735.00. Nevertheless, today it is rather available because it can be found in many markets, which means that players have a pretty good chance of getting it into their inventory. Moreover, there are roughly 5.1K units of this very skin available in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The ★ Ursus Knife | Fade features a Factory New condition showcasing bright colors that transition smoothly from deep purples and blues into vibrant pinks and oranges. The StatTrak version of the Fade is also available in Factory New, adding a touch of rarity and tracking capabilities to this stunning knife skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The ★ Ursus Knife | Fade gained a lot of attention from the community, amassing over 1.3K votes with an average rating of 4.7 of 5 stars on addskins.gg. Such is its strength that it finds a place in the inventories of professional top players like byali, twistzz, and frozen.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New Ursus Knife has a really nice "Anodized Airbrushed" style, which was laboriously worked to just that mesmerizing Fade finish. The art behind this design emulates the action of delicately airbrushing the candy coat by hand to achieve a remarkable visual effect that will change depending on the pattern index.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 319 (16.7%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 346 (26.57%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 330 (20.72%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 241 (-11.84%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.08
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class