★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)

4.7 1381 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 74
+22.16%
Last month
$ 109
+36.45%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 407
-0.3672%
In a quarter
$ 373
-8.69%
In half a year
$ 375
-8.2%
In a year
$ 375
-8.2%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
86% - Forecast accuracy
58% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
65 offers on 9 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
★ Ursus Knife | Fade inspecting ★ Ursus Knife | Fade holding ★ Ursus Knife | Fade pose-1 ★ Ursus Knife | Fade pose-2 ★ Ursus Knife | Fade pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 408
  • 24h price change: 0.2457%
  • 7 days low: $ 334
  • 7 days high: $ 751
  • 7 days price change: 22.16%
  • 30 days low: $ 299
  • 30 days high: $ 800
  • 30 days price change: 36.45%
  • 90 days low: $ 299
  • 90 days high: $ 1 272
  • Year low: $ 299
  • Year high: $ 1 625
  • All time low: $ 299
  • All time high: $ 3 254
  • All time max offers: 102
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 2
  • Sales for last 30 days: 5
  • Sales for last 90 days: 7
  • All time sales: 13
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: -1.05
  • Volatility: 8.16%
  • Liquidity: 2.33%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 407
  • Price forecast change in a month: -0.3672%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 373
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -8.69%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 375
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -8.2%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 375
  • Price forecast change in a year: -8.2%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 503
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 475
Action
✋ Hold
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 442
Action
❌ Avoid
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 454
Action
📉 Sell
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 299
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 299
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 434
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 135
45.02%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 503
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 475
Action
✋ Hold
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 467
Action
✋ Hold
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 442
Action
❌ Avoid
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 452
Action
❌ Avoid
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 443
Action
❌ Avoid
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 472
Action
❌ Avoid
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 474
Action
❌ Avoid
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 469
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 449
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 441
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 454
Action
📉 Sell
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 474
Action
📉 Sell
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 493
Action
📉 Sell
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 299
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 299
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 434
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 135
45.02%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 135
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 299
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
86%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
58%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Related
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$ 130
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From last month
72 offers on 9 markets

Description

History

History

The ★ Ursus Knife | Fade dropped in the CS2 community on August 1st, 2018, for featuring in the Danger Zone Case. As highly colorful and striking, this knife took gamers by storm because it became an immediate desire of many in the game, lending a bit of style and class to one's virtual armament.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Ursus Knife | Fade is a rare and popular skin that can be obtained through the opening of a Danger Zone Case or Horizon Case container in CS2. Unlike many other skins, it does not have any special collections that it belongs to, hence being a valuable addition to any player's inventory.

Popularity

Popularity

The ★ Ursus Knife | Fade boasts an avarice rating of 95% and is considered one of the highly pursued skins in CS2. Its desirability can be reflected through its daily sales volume and the high price it commands in the market, making it one of the most pursued items in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Ursus Knife | Fade is one of 391 other Knife skins, making it one of the most wanted variations. This skin has a Covert rarity, meaning it is an ultra-rare drop with an estimated drop chance of just 0.26%, which means this in-game knife is really elusive and valuable in CS2.

Availability

Availability

The ★ Ursus Knife | Fade is the highly sought-after skin, the price of which goes from $679.51 to $735.00. With having such a huge value, it could be presently found relatively easily on many markets for everyone who is willing to make such an investment. Moreover, 5.1K units of the Fade skin are currently in public CS2 inventories, which denotes the popularity of this skin among the players.

Versions

Versions

Float value for the ★ Ursus Knife | Fade ranges from 0.00 to 0.08, allowing it to drop in both Factory New and Minimal Wear conditions. Really a chance to show that amazing fade pattern. Collectors can find an even more desirable StatTrak variant of the ★ Ursus Knife | Fade in Minimal Wear condition, adding even more reason this knife is so desirable to those looking for functional yet stylish skin on their weapon.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The ★ Ursus Knife | Fade enjoys an incredibly high amount of attention from the community, having received a lot of votes at addskins.gg and having a very impressive average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars. Also, its ownership among popular professional CS2 players such as byali, twistzz, and frozen further confirms its popularity.

Finish style

Finish style

This Ursus Knife features a "Hand-Airbrushed" finish style, and the applied pattern is the Fade. The application method is done to simulate the original, painstaking way of manually airbrushing the candy coat onto the blade to achieve an incredible gradient effect that changes with each different pattern index.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 407 (-0.3672%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 373 (-8.69%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 375 (-8.2%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 375 (-8.2%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.07
Max: 0.08
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class