★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)

4.5 2644 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 15
+8.33%
Last month
$ 94
+93.07%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 232
+15.7%
In a quarter
$ 255
+27.17%
In half a year
$ 230
+14.7%
In a year
$ 203
+1.24%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
34% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
447 offers on 10 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade inspecting ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade holding ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade pose-1 ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade pose-2 ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 195
  • 24h price change: -2.01%
  • 7 days low: $ 180
  • 7 days high: $ 666
  • 7 days price change: 8.33%
  • 30 days low: $ 101
  • 30 days high: $ 675
  • 30 days price change: 93.07%
  • 90 days low: $ 101
  • 90 days high: $ 1 941
  • Year low: $ 101
  • Year high: $ 58 449
  • All time low: $ 101
  • All time high: $ 58 449
  • All time max offers: 619
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 27
  • Sales for last 7 days: 292
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1201
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1484
  • All time sales: 2986
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: 0.0686
  • Volatility: 50.53%
  • Liquidity: 3.93%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 232
  • Price forecast change in a month: 15.7%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 255
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 27.17%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 230
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 14.7%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 203
  • Price forecast change in a year: 1.24%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 351
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 342
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 342
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 312
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -29.97
-8.76%
Result
👎 Fail
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 309
Action
❌ Avoid
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 351
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 342
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 342
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 323
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 312
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 312
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -29.97
-8.76%
Result
👎 Fail
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 309
Action
❌ Avoid
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 319
Action
❌ Avoid
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 317
Action
❌ Avoid
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 326
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 323
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 324
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 325
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 316
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 319
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 161
Action
❌ Avoid
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 230
Action
❌ Avoid
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -29.97
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 342
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
34%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade first appeared in CS2 on March 13th, 2019 when it was released as a new knife skin included in the Prisma 2 Case. This gorgeous knife skin immediately gained popularity among the players for its detailed marble fade pattern, so it became one of the most wanted items within the community.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade is one of the most rarely pulled and popularly in-demand skins within CS2. It has a detailed design while being very vibrant. It can only be pulled out from an opened container of a Prisma 2 Case or Prisma Case, so the value might count as high for this skin, too.

Popularity

Popularity

This makes it one of the trendiest items in the CS2 community, boasting an impressive popularity rating of 95%. Indeed, ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) has a very huge volume of sales every day, which puts it at a premium price in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) The skin is one of 391 others available for the Knife in CS2. However, this is rated ultra-rare by class, dropping a chance of only about 0.26%, which makes it one of the most chased skins among collectors and traders alike.

Availability

Availability

The ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) is one of the high-end skins in CS2. This factories-new skin had been sold for $450.78-$471.52. Such a high price didn't prevent this skin from being very accessible; it could be found in a lot of markets. One more proof of its popularity is that 9.1K units of the Marble Fade have been listed in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade is one of the high-end skins in Factory New condition, but its float value ranges from 0.00 to 0.08 so that it looks pristine with no wear whatsoever. Besides this, a StatTrak version of Marble Fade can also be found in Factory New condition by collectors who want an additional level of exclusiveness on the skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade received immense community support, with over 2.6K votes on addskins.gg and an average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars. Being in the inventories of such popular professional CS2 players like boltz and xarte only adds to the popularity this skin has in-game.

Finish style

Finish style

The Factory New Ursus Knife features an "Marble Fade" finish, which means a rather exciting multicolored pattern of the colors resembling intricate veins in marble. Advanced techniques were used to apply the candy coat, such as silk-screening or using adherable stencils, creating a wildly different look depending on the index pattern.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 232 (15.7%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 255 (27.17%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 230 (14.7%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 203 (1.24%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.08
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players