★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)

4.5 2683 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last week
$ 51
+23.61%
Last month
$ 72
+36.92%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 292
+7.05%
In a quarter
$ 294
+7.78%
In half a year
$ 289
+5.95%
In a year
$ 272
-0.2823%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
70% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
58 offers on 9 markets
Updated6 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
13 offers
from $ 267
White.Market
White.Market
3 offers
from $ 273
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
10 offers
from $ 275
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
7 offers
from $ 286
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
8 offers
from $ 312
Steam
Steam
5 offers
from $ 354
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
10 offers
from $ 407
CS.DEALS
CS.DEALS
1 offers
from $ 596
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
1 offers
from $ 600
Inspect skin
★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade inspecting ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade holding ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade pose-1 ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade pose-2 ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 267
  • 24h price change: 23.61%
  • 7 days low: $ 216
  • 7 days high: $ 596
  • 7 days price change: 23.61%
  • 30 days low: $ 195
  • 30 days high: $ 762
  • 30 days price change: 36.92%
  • 90 days low: $ 195
  • 90 days high: $ 762
  • Year low: $ 195
  • Year high: $ 62 234
  • All time low: $ 195
  • All time high: $ 62 234
  • All time max offers: 111
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 4
  • Sales for last 30 days: 38
  • Sales for last 90 days: 62
  • All time sales: 132
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: -0.46
  • Volatility: 8.94%
  • Liquidity: 3.76%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 292
  • Price forecast change in a month: 7.05%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 294
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 7.78%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 289
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 5.95%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 272
  • Price forecast change in a year: -0.2823%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 324
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 324
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 330
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 5.62
1.73%
Result
👍 Success
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 321
Action
✋ Hold
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 326
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 324
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 324
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 342
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 313
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 308
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 308
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 235
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 330
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 5.62
1.73%
Result
👍 Success
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 321
Action
✋ Hold
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 330
Action
✋ Hold
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 319
Action
✋ Hold
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 326
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 322
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 339
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 368
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 225
Action
❌ Avoid
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 295
Action
❌ Avoid
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 5.62
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 324
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
70%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 107
65%
From last month
91 offers on 9 markets
$ 105
52%
From last month
132 offers on 9 markets
$ 68.63
49%
From last month
199 offers on 10 markets
$ 130
75%
From last month
71 offers on 9 markets

Description

History

History

The ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade first appeared in CS2 on March 13th, 2019 when it was released as a new knife skin included in the Prisma 2 Case. This gorgeous knife skin immediately gained popularity among the players for its detailed marble fade pattern, so it became one of the most wanted items within the community.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade is one of the rarest and most sought-after skins in CS2. It literally dropped from the containers of Prisma 2 Case or Prisma Case. Besides, it doesn't fit into any collection, making this knife even more desirable by collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

The ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) is extremely popular, as backed by its 95% popularity rating in the CS2 community. Because of its high demand and widespread appeal, it has become one of the most popular items in-game, given the great volume it sells each day and the premium price it sells for.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) is a rare skin from the 391 knives, which have been introduced to CS2. The skin belongs to the Covert rarity class; ultra rare drops, and it falls within the possible drop of about 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) is a relatively expensive skin, and its cost varies within a range of $450.78-$471.52. However, it is not problematic to get this skin because of the wide availability on many markets. In addition, the skin has appeared in about 9.1K CS2 public inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade lies between 0.07 and 0.15, so the skin is available in Minimal Wear and Field-Tested conditions for players. Besides, collectors are able to get a StatTrak version of Marble Fade in these two exteriors.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade has received very high community sentiments, averaging 4.5 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg, with over 2.6K votes. But its popularity is even further bolstered because two professional well-known pro players of CS2-''boltz'' and ''xarte''-own this knife, making it desirable to the community.

Finish style

Finish style

The "Marble Fade" finish on this Ursus Knife is simply stunning, with the application of a candy coat in multicolored patterns by techniques such as silk-screening or use of adherable stencils. The pattern index gives the overall look to the finish, forming a totally unique and fascinating design on the blade.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 292 (7.05%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 294 (7.78%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 289 (5.95%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 272 (-0.2823%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.07
Max: 0.08
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players