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4 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 18 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The Ursus Knife | Scorched (Factory New): This heavy-duty survival knife has a faceted blade for sharpness and durability with a full tang design. Sun-dappled paint applied in a sun-dappled pattern has been applied to the knife. "Rebirth is transformation," said Valeria Jenner, infamous revolutionary.
The ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched entered the virtual world of CS2 on August 1st, 2018, when this fantastic knife joined the ever-growing arsenal within the game. This enticingly beautiful knife entered the player's inventory courtesy of the Danger Zone Case that was released along with the "A New Horizon" update, bringing new dimensions to the world of CS2 players.
The ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched is a rare and wanted skin. It can be obtained either by opening a Danger Zone Case or a Horizon Case container within CS2. It is not part of any collection; it is an independent edition that can be included in any player's inventory.
The ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Factory New) has become one of the most popular ones and is rated at 90% now. Because of this, it has very high demand and sells quite frequently. Currently, it's one of the bestsellers in CS2, whose popularity is calculated by the volume of skin sales every day and the skin market price.
The ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched is one of the 391 other Knife skins continuing to be one of the most popular items in CS2. This skin has a rarity level of Covert- ultra rare- and is estimated to have a drop chance of 0.26%.
Float value of the ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched in Factory New condition ranges from 0.06 to 0.80, so players can get this skin in several wear levels. Moreover, for each exterior option of the Scorched, collectors are able to find its StatTrak variant, which adds a unique tracking feature to their knife.
The ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched has gained quite good acclaim from the CS2 community, having more than 5.3K votes on addskins.gg, with a rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. Furthermore, it is in the possession of professional CS2 player naf, thus being very desirable and sought after.
This Factory New Ursus Knife features a "Spray-Paint" style with a Scorched finish, which includes multiple layers of spray-paint applied through complex stencil patterns. For the most part, it is gray; however, it also obtains most of its look from the pattern index, giving an overall well-done and realistic weathered effect.
According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 404 (59.87%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 224 (-11.36%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 414 (63.83%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 378 (49.58%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to sell.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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