★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)

4.8 5309 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last week
$ 3.07
+4.38%
Last month
$ 9.45
+14.84%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 103
+37.33%
In a quarter
$ 126
+68.0%
In half a year
$ 139
+85.33%
In a year
$ 118
+57.33%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
40% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
45 offers on 8 markets
Updated4 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
11 offers
from $ 73.14
White.Market
White.Market
9 offers
from $ 84.58
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
4 offers
from $ 85.17
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
7 offers
from $ 91.98
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
2 offers
from $ 105
Skinport
Skinport
1 offers
from $ 117
Steam
Steam
5 offers
from $ 118
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
6 offers
from $ 135
Inspect skin
★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)
Gallery
★ Ursus Knife | Scorched inspecting ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched holding ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched pose-1 ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched pose-2 ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 73.14
  • 7 days low: $ 70.07
  • 7 days high: $ 268
  • 7 days price change: 4.38%
  • 30 days low: $ 63.69
  • 30 days high: $ 268
  • 30 days price change: 14.84%
  • 90 days low: $ 63.69
  • 90 days high: $ 277
  • Year low: $ 63.69
  • Year high: $ 280
  • All time low: $ 63.69
  • All time high: $ 280
  • All time max offers: 86
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 3
  • Sales for last 7 days: 13
  • Sales for last 30 days: 64
  • Sales for last 90 days: 78
  • All time sales: 149
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 2.64
  • Volatility: 20.28%
  • Liquidity: 2.55%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 103
  • Price forecast change in a month: 37.33%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 126
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 68.0%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 139
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 85.33%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 118
  • Price forecast change in a year: 57.33%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 137
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 137
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 137
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 137
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 127
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 122
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 119
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 122
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 120
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 117
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 123
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 127
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 127
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 128
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 125
Action
🔥 Buy
September 30, 2025
Price
$ 120
Action
🔥 Buy
October 8, 2025
Price
$ 127
Action
🔥 Buy
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 65.81
Action
🔥 Buy
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 83.85
Action
🔥 Buy
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 137
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
40%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 107
72%
From last month
97 offers on 9 markets
$ 105
52%
From last month
153 offers on 9 markets
$ 68.63
52%
From last month
201 offers on 10 markets
$ 130
77%
From last month
72 offers on 9 markets

Description

The worn Ursus Knife features a rugged design, with a strong blade and durable full tang construction, finished with a practical impact pommel. The sun-kissed spray paint pattern on it gives it a fresh feel, reminding one of the words of Valeria Jenner: the Phoenix is about rebirth, not destruction.

History

History

The ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched was added to CS2 five years ago, specifically on August 1st, 2018. It was released with the Danger Zone Case, accompanying the "A New Horizon" update, which gave players a rough-and-tumble knife skin with a scorched blade and a handle worn from the intensity of battles fought in the game's dangerous zones.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched, with its worn exterior, was dropped into the CS2 universe either through the opening of a Danger Zone Case or a Horizon Case container. This particular skin does not show up as part of any collection, making it even more rare for collectors and enthusiasts alike.

Popularity

Popularity

The ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) has quite a high popularity of 90% in reality among CS2 members. The high demand for it and its wide appeal have driven it to one of the highest wanted positions, and this is clearly reflected in the volume of sales and the market price of this skin.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)-Skin this is one of 391 knife skins in CS2. Its rarity is Covert, ultra rare drop that has an estimated chance of just 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) is one of the more expensive skins, falling in value between $103.33 and $1,026.27. But it's not hard to obtain because this skin is represented on many markets. Now, in about 5.1K public CS2 inventories is present float value of the Scorched.

Versions

Versions

The CS2★ Ursus Knife | Scorched Well-Worn has a float value that ranges from 0.38 to 0.45. This knife has attained wear and scratches, with noticeable abrasions. There is also, in the case of Well-Worn, the Scorched StatTrak version with a feature for tracking on the knife.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched has some serious attention within the community, having over 5.3K votes on addskins.gg and a really impressive average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. More importantly, it is owned by naf-a professional CS2 player-which shows that it's among the favorite skins in both playing and collecting.

Finish style

Finish style

This Well-Worn Ursus Knife features the "Spray-Paint" style with a Scorched finish. This knife design contains stencil patterns with multiple layers in spray paint mostly gray. The overall effect of the Scorched finish depends on the pattern index, which makes this particular knife unique.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 103 (37.33%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 126 (68.0%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 139 (85.33%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 118 (57.33%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players