★ Ursus Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)

4.8 5627 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 23.8
+37.43%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 109
+21.53%
In a quarter
$ 124
+38.25%
In half a year
$ 135
+50.52%
In a year
$ 125
+39.37%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
17% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
203 offers on 8 markets
Updated7 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
★ Ursus Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)
Gallery
★ Ursus Knife | Stained inspecting ★ Ursus Knife | Stained holding ★ Ursus Knife | Stained pose-1 ★ Ursus Knife | Stained pose-2 ★ Ursus Knife | Stained pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 87.38
  • 7 days low: $ 87.38
  • 7 days high: $ 196
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 63.58
  • 30 days high: $ 281
  • 30 days price change: 37.43%
  • 90 days low: $ 63.58
  • 90 days high: $ 301
  • Year low: $ 63.58
  • Year high: $ 24 000
  • All time low: $ 63.58
  • All time high: $ 24 000
  • All time max offers: 311
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 6
  • Sales for last 7 days: 42
  • Sales for last 30 days: 251
  • Sales for last 90 days: 322
  • All time sales: 634
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 0.3164
  • Volatility: 72.69%
  • Liquidity: 3.23%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 109
  • Price forecast change in a month: 21.53%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 124
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 38.25%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 135
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 50.52%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 125
  • Price forecast change in a year: 39.37%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Ursus Knife | Stained (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 147
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 147
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 74.85
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -72.15
-49.08%
Result
👎 Fail
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 104
Action
❌ Avoid
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 147
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 147
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 141
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 119
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 109
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 129
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 127
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 134
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 132
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 138
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 139
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 146
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 139
Action
🔥 Buy
October 2, 2025
Price
$ 142
Action
🔥 Buy
October 10, 2025
Price
$ 137
Action
🔥 Buy
October 18, 2025
Price
$ 74.85
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -72.15
-49.08%
Result
👎 Fail
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 104
Action
❌ Avoid
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -72.15
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 147
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
17%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Related
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Description

This well-worn Ursus Knife boasts a thick, heavy blade in a tanto style, featuring heavy full tang construction and an impactful pommel. The patina has been forced through the strategic application of lemon and mustard, yielding a wildly asymmetrical look that becomes positively enchanting under the glow of a blacklight.

History

History

The ★ Ursus Knife | Stained entered the world of CS2 on August 1st, 2018, included in the Danger Zone Case. It fast won a place in the hearts of the in-game players with its rough and weathered look, making their virtual armories look more interesting and filled with character and history.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Ursus Knife | Stained is one of the rarest skins that have a worn and weathered look and can only be hauled out when a Danger Zone Case or Horizon Case container in CS2 has been opened. This unique skin, while not part of any collections, shows at once glance the scars of numerous battles and the determination of its previous owner.

Popularity

Popularity

The reason is that the ★ Ursus Knife | Stained (Well-Worn) is one of the most popular options among CS2 players, as 90% of them like this in-game item. Its popularity is fairly reflected by the great volume of sales and high price that it boasts on the market, which cements its status as one of the most wanted items in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Ursus Knife | Stained belongs to the 391 other skin editions of the Knife in CS2, one of the most popular cosmetic items in this game. Covert rarity classifies it as ultra-rare, and that goes in line with just about a 0.26% drop chance approximation.

Versions

Versions

Its float value ranges from 0.38 to 0.45, making the knife visibly worn-out with scratches and wear patterns. This version is available for all exteriors, while for collectors who want to keep track of their kills, there is a StatTrak version of this knife.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The ★ Ursus Knife | Stained has received extremely favorable community sentiment with over 5.5K votes on addskins.gg and an average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. Its design is quite unique and well-worn, which has attracted players to make this skin one of the most pursued knife skins in CS2.

Finish style

Finish style

The Well-Worn Ursus Knife | Stained sports a worn and worn-out look, with the patina already set into the metallic parts and is inspired by various real-life weapon patinas such as case hardening, cold bluing, and acid forced patinas. The grayish-white coloration gives the knife a tint of class while the pattern index affects the overall look and pattern of the Stained finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Ursus Knife | Stained (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 109 (21.53%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 124 (38.25%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 135 (50.52%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 125 (39.37%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class