XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Minimal Wear)

4.7 1981 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 7.03
+9.16%
Last month
$ 18.21
+27.77%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 79.89
-4.66%
In a quarter
$ 74.31
-11.31%
In half a year
$ 84.2
+0.4839%
In a year
$ 159
+90.24%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
67% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
18 offers on 7 markets
Updated11 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
4 offers
from $ 83.78
White.Market
White.Market
3 offers
from $ 83.85
Steam
Steam
4 offers
from $ 90
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
2 offers
from $ 97.41
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
2 offers
from $ 102
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 153
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
2 offers
from $ 182
Inspect skin
XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
XM1014 | Ancient Lore inspecting XM1014 | Ancient Lore reloading XM1014 | Ancient Lore holding XM1014 | Ancient Lore pose-1 XM1014 | Ancient Lore pose-2 XM1014 | Ancient Lore pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 83.78
  • 24h price change: -0.0119%
  • 7 days low: $ 76.75
  • 7 days high: $ 200
  • 7 days price change: 9.16%
  • 30 days low: $ 65.57
  • 30 days high: $ 200
  • 30 days price change: 27.77%
  • 90 days low: $ 53.44
  • 90 days high: $ 200
  • Year low: $ 37.44
  • Year high: $ 200
  • All time low: $ 26.27
  • All time high: $ 200
  • All time max offers: 24
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 2
  • Sales for last 30 days: 3
  • Sales for last 90 days: 22
  • All time sales: 58
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 8, 2025
  • Risk: 2.22
  • Volatility: 14.57%
  • Liquidity: 5.05%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 79.89
  • Price forecast change in a month: -4.66%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 74.31
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -11.31%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 84.2
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 0.4839%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 159
  • Price forecast change in a year: 90.24%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 57.78
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 57.78
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 195
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 137
237.83%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 118
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 83.79
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 83.79
November 8, 2025
Price
$ 57.78
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 57.78
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 61.13
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 60.73
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 57.58
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 58.29
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 53.88
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 55.01
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 55.5
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 59.94
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 60.26
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 59.91
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 59.91
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 65.57
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 195
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 137
237.83%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 118
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 118
Action
❌ Avoid
October 31, 2025
Price
$ 83.79
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 83.79
November 8, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 137
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 142
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
51 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
46 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
12 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
$ 17.27 $ 44.71
10 offers on 2 markets
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
258 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
308 offers on 8 markets

Description

History

History

The XM1014 | Ancient Lore was released on December 3rd, 2020, and then appeared in CS2 as a part of the Paris 2023 Ancient Souvenir Package. This well-demanded shotgun gained much love among players at once due to its detailed design and lore-inspired artwork, which made it one of the most valuable possessions in this game.

Origin

Origin

XM1014 | Ancient Lore This is the skin that is obtainable by opening one of the four containers housing it, namely Antwerp 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Ancient Souvenir Package and Rio 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package. The skin belongs to The Ancient Collection, hence exclusive and high-demand by CS2 players.

Popularity

Popularity

The XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Minimal Wear) features a popularity rating of 70%, placing this skin within the top 30% of all CS2 skins. That is sure to be a good indicator of outstanding demand because high sales volumes, along with an extremely high price on the market, can make this skin as valuable as it is.

Rarity

Rarity

This is a rather uncommon find because there are 134 other Shotgun skins, including XM1014 | Ancient Lore. With the skin rarity being Restricted, this is supposed to be an estimated drop chance of 15.98%, further increasing its rarity among collectors.

Availability

Availability

The XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Minimal Wear) is fairly cheap. The price range from $0.44 to $36.45 is really a low-cost category. Thankfully for the consumers, this particular skin is quite abundant and has the opportunity to be bought across many markets. Furthermore, there are 10.8K units of Ancient Lore in CS2 open public inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float range for the XM1014 | Ancient Lore Minimal Wear is from 0.00 to 0.50, which means that this skin is in all exteriors. Besides, in each exterior, a player is able to get a souvenir version of Ancient Lore.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Given this, the XM1014 | Ancient Lore-Minimal Wear gained huge positive feedback in the CS2 community because it reached a rating of as high as 4.7 out of 5 stars for over 1.9K votes on addskins.gg. In addition to that, such popularity was increased by the very fact that pro CS2 player frozen has this skin in his inventory.

Finish style

Finish style

XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Minimal Wear) Skin and Name The "Anodized Multicolored" finish features the candy coat applied in a bright and multi-colored pattern. In reality, this could have been done by silk-screening or using adherable stencils. The pattern index affects the overall look of the Ancient Lore finish, which makes each skin unique.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 79.89 (-4.66%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 74.31 (-11.31%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 84.2 (0.4839%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 159 (90.24%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players