XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New)

4.4 6271 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.06
+41.41%
Last month
$ 1.22
+50.83%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 3.11
-15.03%
In a quarter
$ 2.76
-24.59%
In half a year
$ 3.05
-16.67%
In a year
$ 5.13
+40.16%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
78% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
156 offers on 9 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New)
Gallery
XM1014 | Black Tie inspecting XM1014 | Black Tie reloading XM1014 | Black Tie holding XM1014 | Black Tie pose-1 XM1014 | Black Tie pose-2 XM1014 | Black Tie pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 3.62
  • 7 days low: $ 2.56
  • 7 days high: $ 18
  • 7 days price change: 41.41%
  • 30 days low: $ 2.4
  • 30 days high: $ 193
  • 30 days price change: 50.83%
  • 90 days low: $ 2.12
  • 90 days high: $ 193
  • Year low: $ 1.59
  • Year high: $ 899
  • All time low: $ 1.52
  • All time high: $ 899
  • All time max offers: 311
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 29
  • Sales for last 7 days: 261
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1059
  • Sales for last 90 days: 2367
  • All time sales: 6759
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: 0.425
  • Volatility: 11.17%
  • Liquidity: 11.3%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 3.11
  • Price forecast change in a month: -15.03%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 2.76
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -24.59%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 3.05
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -16.67%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 5.13
  • Price forecast change in a year: 40.16%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 2.18
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.18
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.45
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.27
58.26%
Result
👍 Success
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 2.5
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.5
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 3.64
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.14
45.60%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 2.18
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.18
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.23
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 2.03
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 2.14
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 2.12
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.13
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.29
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.5
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 2.54
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 2.47
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 2.69
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 2.35
Action
🔥 Buy
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.93
Action
🔥 Buy
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 3.45
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.27
58.26%
Result
👍 Success
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 2.5
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.5
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 3.64
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.14
45.60%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 2.41
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 4.68
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
78%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
51 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
46 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
12 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
$ 17.27 $ 44.71
10 offers on 2 markets
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
258 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
308 offers on 8 markets

Description

XM1014 | Black Tie: Fully automatic shotgun, the XM1014 is as deadly as it is stylish. With a chrome finish of black and white, this beauty makes its way into the arms as a weapon of sophistication, just what one needs to go into a formal engagement in the world of CS: GO. It is left to you what fate Izaki and Cocinero meet, whether you require their services or prefer to eliminate them straight away.

History

History

The XM1014 | Black Tie was introduced into the virtual field of CS2 on April 27th, 2016, upon its addition into the Chroma 3 Case during the release of the "Trichromacy" update. This chic skin was contributed by a highly talented community designer known as "Nextgenz", reflecting an immense amount of creativity and attentiveness.

Origin

Origin

XM1014 | Black Tie is a stylish and smart skin, along with Factory New, obtained through opening an in-game Chroma 3 Case container within CS2. It features the exclusive Chroma 3 Collection, classifying it among a few cool gun skins a player can own.

Popularity

Popularity

The XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) is a highly sought-after item in CS2, with a popularity rating of 85%. This places it among the most coveted skins, as its daily sales volume and price contribute to its high demand.

Rarity

Rarity

The XM1014 | Black Tie is a fancy and sleek shotgun skin that stands out among 134 other shotgun skins. This skin has a rarity classification of Restricted, making it a relatively rare drop with an estimated drop chance of 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The XM1014 | Black Tie Factory New is relatively inexpensive. The price of the skin ranges from $0.18 to $5.23, which makes it easily accessible on multiple markets. Moreover, it is easy to buy since there is a huge supply of 547.4K units in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the XM1014 | Black Tie in Factory New condition ranges from 0.00 to 0.75, making this classy skin available in all kinds of exteriors, from pristine to slightly worn. And for collectors and enthusiasts, there is a StatTrak variant of the Black Tie available in each exterior to add style and personality to your kills.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The XM1014 | Black Tie received one of the highest community approval ratings, having an average of 4.4 out of 5-star ratings and over 6.1K votes on addskins.gg. It is highly popular and finds its place in the inventory of professional CS2 players like xyp9x, tarik, and adren.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New XM1014 features the sleek, sophisticated "Black Tie" finish, giving it a really refined and classy look. Black and white colors merged into one create such a timeless classic look; this is even more so the case as the "Custom Paint Job" style allows endless possibilities in personalization.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 3.11 (-15.03%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 2.76 (-24.59%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 3.05 (-16.67%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 5.13 (40.16%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.75
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

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