XM1014 | Black Tie (Well-Worn)

4.4 6121 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.68
+121%
Last month
$ 0.84
+210%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.86
-32.28%
In a quarter
$ 0.59
-53.54%
In half a year
$ 0.65
-48.82%
In a year
$ 0.87
-31.5%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
👍 High
90% - Forecast accuracy
80% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
59 offers on 8 markets
Updated9 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
XM1014 | Black Tie (Well-Worn)
Gallery
XM1014 | Black Tie inspecting XM1014 | Black Tie reloading XM1014 | Black Tie holding XM1014 | Black Tie pose-1 XM1014 | Black Tie pose-2 XM1014 | Black Tie pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1.24
  • 7 days low: $ 0.56
  • 7 days high: $ 5.97
  • 7 days price change: 121%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.4
  • 30 days high: $ 5.97
  • 30 days price change: 210%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.29
  • 90 days high: $ 5.97
  • Year low: $ 0.29
  • Year high: $ 7.68
  • All time low: $ 0.237
  • All time high: $ 7.68
  • All time max offers: 468
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 9
  • Sales for last 7 days: 98
  • Sales for last 30 days: 487
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1038
  • All time sales: 2827
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: -1.32
  • Volatility: 26.04%
  • Liquidity: 5.34%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.86
  • Price forecast change in a month: -32.28%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.59
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -53.54%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.65
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -48.82%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.87
  • Price forecast change in a year: -31.5%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the XM1014 | Black Tie (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.5
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.5
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.58
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.08
16.00%
Result
👍 Success
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 0.48
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.48
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 0.58
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.1
20.83%
Result
👍 Success
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 0.45
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.45
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.67
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.22
48.89%
Result
👍 Success
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.5
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.5
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.486
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.383
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.339
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.37
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.33
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.37
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.58
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.08
16.00%
Result
👍 Success
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 0.48
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.48
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 0.29
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 0.58
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.1
20.83%
Result
👍 Success
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 0.45
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.45
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.41
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.41
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.67
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.22
48.89%
Result
👍 Success
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 1.07
Action
📉 Sell
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.4
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 1.43
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
3
Success count
3
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
90%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
80%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
46 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
45 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
13 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
259 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
308 offers on 8 markets

Description

The XM1014 | Black Tie (Well-Worn) is a powerful, fully automatic shotgun that will bring devastating firepower to bear and make its higher cost worth it by turning any room into a lead-filled spectacle. Dressed in an elegant black and white chrome finish, this shotgun is the perfect choice for those formal engagements where style and lethality go hand in hand.

History

History

The XM1014 | Black Tie was added to CS2 on April 27th, 2016, when it joined the list of weapons in the game. This fancy skin was designed by the community designer "Nextgenz" and was released as part of the Chroma 3 Case, which simultaneously appeared with the enchanting "Trichromacy" update.

Origin

Origin

XM1014 | Black Tie (Well-Worn) - this is a shotgun skin, a drop from the container Chroma 3 Case, which drops in-game in several finishes for various weapons. The skin relates to the Chroma 3 Collection, that features a few really nice-looking firearm designs existing in CS2.

Popularity

Popularity

The Well-Worn version of the XM1014 | Black Tie is highly sought after and highly wanted, boasting an extremely impressive popularity rating of 85%. For this reason, this skin comfortably belongs in the top 15% of the best skins in CS2, ranking determined through careful analysis of sales volume and market value daily.

Rarity

Rarity

The XM1014 | Black Tie in Well-Worn condition is one of 134 other shotgun skins available in CS2. With a rarity classification of Restricted, this skin is considered relatively rare, boasting an estimated drop chance of 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

XM1014 | Black Tie (Well-Worn) is a rather cheap skin with a minimal price of $0.18-$5.23. It can be bought without problems on multiple markets, or traded from another player. Right now, Black Tie has 547.4K units circulating in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

Well-Worn XM1014 | Black Tie: Float Value-0.38-0.45; The skin has a used look with the available scratches and wear marks. Additionally, one can also get a StatTrak variant of Well-Worn Black Tie that shows the number of kills made by the player with that particular gun.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The XM1014 | Black Tie received a fairly positive community judgment, judged on 4.4 out of 5-star reviews, but over 6.1K votes on addskins.gg, which makes the skin truly desirable. Professional players like xyp9x, tarik, and adren have this worn-out skin in their inventory as well.

Finish style

Finish style

This XM1014 features a detailed "Custom Paint Job" style and the classy Black Tie finish that allows for a wide array of personalized color combinations. The skin is professionally coated in a sophisticated black and white color scheme, irrespective of pattern indexes.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the XM1014 | Black Tie (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 0.86 (-32.28%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.59 (-53.54%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.65 (-48.82%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 0.87 (-31.5%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.75
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players