XM1014 | Bone Machine (Factory New)

4.7 6299 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.87
+18.19%
Last month
$ 2.4
+24.62%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 11.78
-1.26%
In a quarter
$ 11.57
-3.02%
In half a year
$ 13.98
+17.18%
In a year
$ 25.24
+112.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
80% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
157 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
34 offers
from $ 12.15
White.Market
White.Market
36 offers
from $ 13.03
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
26 offers
from $ 13.49
Bitskins
Bitskins
3 offers
from $ 15
Steam
Steam
38 offers
from $ 16.07
Skinport
Skinport
13 offers
from $ 16.69
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
2 offers
from $ 29.03
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
2 offers
from $ 29.64
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
3 offers
from $ 30.74
Inspect skin
XM1014 | Bone Machine (Factory New)
Gallery
XM1014 | Bone Machine inspecting XM1014 | Bone Machine reloading XM1014 | Bone Machine holding XM1014 | Bone Machine pose-1 XM1014 | Bone Machine pose-2 XM1014 | Bone Machine pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 12.15
  • 24h price change: 1.84%
  • 7 days low: $ 10.28
  • 7 days high: $ 62.51
  • 7 days price change: 18.19%
  • 30 days low: $ 9.75
  • 30 days high: $ 63.25
  • 30 days price change: 24.62%
  • 90 days low: $ 7.09
  • 90 days high: $ 74.77
  • Year low: $ 6.01
  • Year high: $ 74.77
  • All time low: $ 5.38
  • All time high: $ 6 908
  • All time max offers: 187
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 10
  • Sales for last 7 days: 50
  • Sales for last 30 days: 227
  • Sales for last 90 days: 525
  • All time sales: 1261
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 1.66
  • Volatility: 25.93%
  • Liquidity: 7.74%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 11.78
  • Price forecast change in a month: -1.26%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 11.57
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -3.02%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 13.98
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 17.18%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 25.24
  • Price forecast change in a year: 112.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the XM1014 | Bone Machine (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 8.36
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 8.36
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 10.34
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.98
23.68%
Result
👍 Success
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 8.24
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 8.24
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 11.7
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 3.46
41.99%
Result
👍 Success
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 12.08
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 11.87
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 11.87
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 13.03
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.16
9.77%
Result
👍 Success
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 12.08
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 12.08
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 16.69
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 4.61
38.16%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 17.71
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 11.78
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 11.78
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 8.36
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 8.36
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 10.34
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.98
23.68%
Result
👍 Success
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 8.24
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 8.24
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 8.2
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 8.03
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 7.96
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 9.12
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 11.7
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 3.46
41.99%
Result
👍 Success
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 12.08
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 11.87
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 11.87
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 13.03
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.16
9.77%
Result
👍 Success
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 12.08
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 12.08
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 16.69
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 4.61
38.16%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 17.71
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 11.78
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 11.78
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 12.38
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 11.21
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 52.33
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
5
Sell count
4
Success count
4
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
80%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
51 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
46 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
12 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
258 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
308 offers on 8 markets

Description

History

History

The XM1014 | Bone Machine first appeared in CS2 on August 13th, 2014, and immediately gained popularity among the players who wanted a stylish weapon in their arsenal and deadly at the same time. Later, its Factory New version dropped in-game as part of the Katowice 2019 Cache Souvenir Package along with the "ESL One Cologne 2014" update, which made it even more desirable by collectors and enthusiastic players.

Origin

Origin

Among highly sought CS2 skins comes the XM1014 | Bone Machine, for which the ability to get an in-game can be performed when opening one of 12 various containers, in which this particular skin is enclosed: Atlanta 2017 Cache Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Cache Souvenir Package, Cologne 2016 Cache Souvenir Package, and lots more. Collectors and a great number of players want it because this very skin is one of The Cache Collection.

Popularity

Popularity

The XM1014 | Bone Machine (Factory New) is considered one of the most popular choices among CS2 players; its popularity level is 85%. This item belongs to the top 15% of most wanted items of this game - such a level is determined by the volume of daily sales, as well as the price of the skin.

Rarity

Rarity

The XM1014 | Bone Machine is a skin and part of the 134 Shotgun skins in CS2. It features a Mil-Spec Grade rarity, making it a relatively common drop with an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The XM1014 | Bone Machine (Factory New) is averagely cheap in CS2. This skin can be purchased from $2.81 to $18.02, which is a pretty low price. It's a highly widespread skin available for lots of markets, and can be easily bought. Currently, there are 68.4K units of the Bone Machine in public CS2 inventories, that's just how popular this skin is among the players.

Versions

Versions

Float Value of the XM1014 | Bone Machine in CS2 ranges from 0.00 to 0.60, which means that this skin will be available in all kinds of wear, so every player can choose exactly what he likes. Moreover, for each pattern of skin exterior, there is a Souvenir version of the Bone Machine, meaning even collectors will get an exclusive form of this shotgun skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for the XM1014 | Bone Machine Factory New in CS2 is extremely positive, with an average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars and over 6.2K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further emphasized by its ownership among renowned professional players such as adren, chrisj, and pimp.

Finish style

Finish style

This well-used XM1014 boasts a Bone Machine finish with a candy coat applied in bright, multicolored swirling patterns. The pattern index affects how the skin appears; each of them has an appearance unique to the skin it carries, using techniques from silk-screening to adherable stencils.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the XM1014 | Bone Machine (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 11.78 (-1.26%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 11.57 (-3.02%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 13.98 (17.18%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 25.24 (112.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.