XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Factory New)

4.4 2384 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 32
+18.18%
Last month
$ 80
+62.5%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 207
+17.17%
In a quarter
$ 213
+20.57%
In half a year
$ 203
+14.91%
In a year
$ 314
+77.74%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
50% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
2 offers on 2 markets
Updated23 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 208
Steam
Steam
1 offers
from $ 219
Inspect skin
XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Factory New)
Gallery
XM1014 | Fallout Warning inspecting XM1014 | Fallout Warning reloading XM1014 | Fallout Warning holding XM1014 | Fallout Warning pose-1 XM1014 | Fallout Warning pose-2 XM1014 | Fallout Warning pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 208
  • 24h price change: 18.18%
  • 7 days low: $ 176
  • 7 days high: $ 409
  • 7 days price change: 18.18%
  • 30 days low: $ 128
  • 30 days high: $ 474
  • 30 days price change: 62.5%
  • 90 days low: $ 114
  • 90 days high: $ 764
  • Year low: $ 102
  • Year high: $ 764
  • All time low: $ 102
  • All time high: $ 764
  • All time max offers: 8
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 2
  • Sales for last 90 days: 3
  • All time sales: 5
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 1.7
  • Volatility: 11.83%
  • Liquidity: 1.22%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 207
  • Price forecast change in a month: 17.17%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 213
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 20.57%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 203
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 14.91%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 314
  • Price forecast change in a year: 77.74%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 133
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 155
Action
📉 Sell
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 224
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 128
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 128
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 133
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 135
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 133
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 133
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 133
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 133
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 133
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 155
Action
📉 Sell
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 210
Action
📉 Sell
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 228
Action
📉 Sell
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 224
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 225
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 223
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 128
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 128
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 221
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 208
Action
🔥 Buy
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 128
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
50%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
51 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
46 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
12 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
258 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
308 offers on 8 markets

Description

The XM1014 is a fearsome and reliable fully automatic shotgun that can unleash a storm of bullets in rapid succession. The body has been etched with radiological warning hazard patterns, lending an air of danger and distinction to the otherwise humdrum appearance.

History

History

The XM1014 | Fallout Warning first appeared in the virtual world of CS2 on August 14th, 2013, when it was added as part of the Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package. This popular shotgun came into the hands of players along with "The Arms Deal" update, adding a touch of nuclear flair to their arsenal.

Origin

Origin

The XM1014 | Fallout Warning, Factory New, can be acquired by opening the Atlanta 2017 Nuke Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Nuke Souvenir Package, among others. It is also part of The Nuke Collection, which adds to its collectibility.

Popularity

Popularity

XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) pulls a very respectable 70% popularity rating, placing it among the top 30% most popular items available in the CS2 Universe. This determination is based upon its sales volume and market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The XM1014 | Fallout Warning is one of the relatively rare shotgun skins existing in CS2 - after all, there are only 133 others. Nevertheless, its Industrial Grade rarity indicates that it is still a rather common sight among players.

Availability

Availability

The XM1014 | Fallout Warning Factory New for CS2 has a price starting from $2.06 to $117.89, which is rather inexpensive for an in-game skin. Also, this skin is well available because it falls not so rarely, and there are already more than 15.7K units circulating in the public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The most wanted skin in CS2 is the given skin-XM1014 | Fallout Warning. The float value of the skin ranges from 0.06 up to 0.80, so one can get it in well-worn conditions. Collectors can also take souvenir versions of Fallout Warning for each exterior and add something to their collection.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The XM1014 | Fallout Warning attracted many a community vote, adding over 2.2K on addskins.gg and averaging a rating of 4.4/5, proof that this beauty shines so bright. Its popularity among professional CS2 gamers such as get_right, arya, and shroud-who proudly own and use this skin-is unbeatable.

Finish style

Finish style

The XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) features a "Spray-Paint" style skin with multi-coat applications applied by stencil pattern. The scheme is predominantly tinged with a bright red so that this will make this skin pop, very bright warning sign. The pattern index never deforms the Fallon Warning finish in any way.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 207 (17.17%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 213 (20.57%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 203 (14.91%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 314 (77.74%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.06
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.