XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested)

4.4 2286 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 2.52
+41.24%
Last month
$ 2.79
+47.77%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 8.35
-0.95%
In a quarter
$ 9.06
+7.47%
In half a year
$ 8.91
+5.69%
In a year
$ 7.91
-6.17%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
34% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
52 offers on 7 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
5 offers
from $ 8.63
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
5 offers
from $ 8.79
White.Market
White.Market
7 offers
from $ 8.79
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
3 offers
from $ 9.06
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
7 offers
from $ 9.25
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
8 offers
from $ 9.52
Steam
Steam
17 offers
from $ 9.86
Inspect skin
XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested)
Gallery
XM1014 | Fallout Warning inspecting XM1014 | Fallout Warning reloading XM1014 | Fallout Warning holding XM1014 | Fallout Warning pose-1 XM1014 | Fallout Warning pose-2 XM1014 | Fallout Warning pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 8.63
  • 24h price change: 2.37%
  • 7 days low: $ 6.11
  • 7 days high: $ 24.03
  • 7 days price change: 41.24%
  • 30 days low: $ 5.84
  • 30 days high: $ 34.29
  • 30 days price change: 47.77%
  • 90 days low: $ 5.61
  • 90 days high: $ 34.29
  • Year low: $ 5.61
  • Year high: $ 71.35
  • All time low: $ 5.37
  • All time high: $ 71.35
  • All time max offers: 107
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 6
  • Sales for last 7 days: 32
  • Sales for last 30 days: 101
  • Sales for last 90 days: 231
  • All time sales: 591
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.0724
  • Volatility: 19.09%
  • Liquidity: 9.49%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 8.35
  • Price forecast change in a month: -0.95%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 9.06
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 7.47%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 8.91
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 5.69%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 7.91
  • Price forecast change in a year: -6.17%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 9.88
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 9.88
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 8.56
Action
✋ Hold
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 8.43
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -1.45
-14.68%
Result
👎 Fail
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 9.88
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 9.88
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 9.23
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 9.48
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 8.78
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 8
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 7.95
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 5.96
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 6.71
Action
🔥 Buy
September 3, 2025
Price
$ 7.73
Action
🔥 Buy
September 11, 2025
Price
$ 7.88
Action
🔥 Buy
September 19, 2025
Price
$ 8.08
Action
🔥 Buy
September 27, 2025
Price
$ 7.27
Action
🔥 Buy
October 5, 2025
Price
$ 7.76
Action
🔥 Buy
October 13, 2025
Price
$ 5.86
Action
🔥 Buy
October 21, 2025
Price
$ 8.56
Action
✋ Hold
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 8.43
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -1.45
-14.68%
Result
👎 Fail
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -1.45
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 9.88
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
34%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
51 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
46 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
12 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
258 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
308 offers on 8 markets

Description

The XM1014 | Fallout Warning is an automatic shotgun with outstanding firepower. It unleashes a storm of lead in less than a few seconds. The peculiar appearance of the gun, along with radiological warning hazard patterns created with spray paint, makes it one of the intimidating-looking pieces on the battlefield.

History

History

The XM1014 | Fallout Warning first joined the virtual battlefield almost a decade ago, on August 14th, 2013. Among the many arms of this game, it was one of the highly sought-after items in the Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package launched with the "The Arms Deal" update, adding a little nuclear-themed destruction to the player's arsenal.

Origin

Origin

The XM1014 | Fallout Warning is a rare skin that can be obtained by opening any of the eight cases that contain it, among which are the Atlanta 2017 Nuke Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Nuke Souvenir Package. Besides, this skin is part of The Nuke Collection, further increasing its exclusivity and demand among CS2 players.

Popularity

Popularity

A pretty popular gun is the XM1014 | Fallout Warning Field-Tested: 70%. It places them in the Top 30 of the most coveted items by this game due to its average amount of daily sold copies and a market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The XM1014 | Fallout Warning is one of 134 other shotgun skins, placing it at a somewhat above average selection for players. Featuring Industrial Grade rarity, the Fallout Warning is actually relatively common to find in CS2, meaning many players should have easy access to this skin.

Availability

Availability

The XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) skin offers a range of prices from $2.06 to $117.89, making it an affordable option for players. Moreover, this skin is readily accessible as it is widely available across various markets, with approximately 15.7K units currently present in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value ranges from 0.06 to 0.80, ensuring that pulling the skin is possible in all exterior conditions, ranging from Factory New to Battle-Scarred for the XM1014 | Fallout Warning. A Souvenir version is also available in each type of exterior for the Fallout Warning, which will enable collectors and enthusiasts to spread the love on the skin through every wear level present in the game.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

XM1014 | Fallout Warning is a skin that is held in high esteem by the community, gathering massive amounts of votes on addskins.gg and eventually garnering a rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars. Its ownership includes famous professional players like get_right, arya, and shroud.

Finish style

Finish style

This XM1014 features a realistic finish, "Fallout Warning," depicting a design with spray paint and stencil patterns. The skin is predominantly red with a tint of color, making it look more like a warning sign. Whatever the pattern index, the fallout warning finish does not change in this weapon.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) is expected fall down to $ 8.35 (-0.95%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 9.06 (7.47%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 8.91 (5.69%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 7.91 (-6.17%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.26
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.