XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear)

4.4 2266 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 4.07
+12.46%
Last month
$ 20.27
+123%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 22.18
-39.73%
In a quarter
$ 19.52
-46.96%
In half a year
$ 13.1
-64.4%
In a year
$ 26.58
-27.77%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
64% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
67% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
15 offers on 7 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
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from $ 43.53
CSGO.COM
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1 offers
from $ 48.89
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2 offers
from $ 57
White.Market
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1 offers
from $ 58.69
Waxpeer
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1 offers
from $ 59.3
ShadowPay
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1 offers
from $ 60.15
Inspect skin
XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
XM1014 | Fallout Warning inspecting XM1014 | Fallout Warning reloading XM1014 | Fallout Warning holding XM1014 | Fallout Warning pose-1 XM1014 | Fallout Warning pose-2 XM1014 | Fallout Warning pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 36.74
  • 7 days low: $ 32.67
  • 7 days high: $ 199
  • 7 days price change: 12.46%
  • 30 days low: $ 16.47
  • 30 days high: $ 199
  • 30 days price change: 123%
  • 90 days low: $ 15.57
  • 90 days high: $ 199
  • Year low: $ 14.39
  • Year high: $ 3 581
  • All time low: $ 13.26
  • All time high: $ 3 581
  • All time max offers: 30
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 9
  • Sales for last 30 days: 49
  • Sales for last 90 days: 77
  • All time sales: 170
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: -0.76
  • Volatility: 10.93%
  • Liquidity: 4.71%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 22.18
  • Price forecast change in a month: -39.73%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 19.52
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -46.96%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 13.1
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -64.4%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 26.58
  • Price forecast change in a year: -27.77%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 24.45
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 24.45
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 27.17
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 2.72
11.12%
Result
👍 Success
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 26.49
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 26.49
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 25.57
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.93
-3.49%
Result
👎 Fail
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 19.43
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 19.43
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 23.35
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 3.92
20.17%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 22.28
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 24.45
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 24.45
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 15.18
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 27.17
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 2.72
11.12%
Result
👍 Success
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 26.49
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 26.49
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 24.85
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 17.39
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 22.02
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 16.37
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 21.61
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 25.57
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.93
-3.49%
Result
👎 Fail
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 19.43
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 19.43
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 18.66
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 18.27
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 23.35
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 3.92
20.17%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 22.28
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 22.09
Action
❌ Avoid
October 31, 2025
Price
$ 32.96
Action
❌ Avoid
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 5.71
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 70.37
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
3
Sell count
3
Success count
2
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
64%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
67%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
51 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
46 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
12 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
258 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
308 offers on 8 markets

Description

The XM1014 is a pretty strong automatic shotgun, with the capability to deal considerable damage in-game, especially at closer quarters, which warrants a higher price compared to the Nova for the potential unleasher of a bullet storm. Its body has a spray-painted design with a motive of radiological warning hazard patterns, which is dangerous looking as it already seems.

History

History

The XM1014 | Fallout Warning was added to CS2 on August 14th, 2013, when it was released as part of the Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package. This remarkable shotgun came along with "The Arms Deal" update and was one of a kind in color and appearance.

Origin

Origin

XM1014 | Fallout Warning can be obtained by opening one of the following containers: Atlanta 2017 Nuke Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package or Cologne 2016 Nuke Souvenir Package. The skin is also part of The Nuke Collection.

Popularity

Popularity

With a popularity factor of 70%, XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) is one of the most popular skins in CS2. It takes the lead in more than 70 percent of other skins when it comes to demand and market prices. This rating is based on the combination of its high sales volume per day and stable price.

Rarity

Rarity

The XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) is among the 134 other Shotgun skins that exist within CS2. The rarity of this shotgun skin is Industrial Grade, therefore, it isn't too uncommon to find the skin in game.

Availability

Availability

The XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) is a reasonably priced skin, ranging from $2.06 to $117.89, making it accessible to a wide range of players. It is currently in high demand and can be easily found on various CS2 marketplaces, with approximately 15.7K units available in public inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the XM1014 | Fallout Warning in Minimal Wear condition ranges from 0.06 to 0.80, making it available in all exteriors, hence giving players a wide variety to choose from. Besides, for collectors, there is also a Souvenir version of the Fallout Warning skin for each exterior, adding a unique touch to their collection.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

XM1014 | Fallout Warning has had a high community approval with a large amount of votes, averaging 4.4 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further driven home by the ownership of this skin by such renowned professional CS2 players like get_right, arya, and shroud.

Finish style

Finish style

The CS2 XM1014 | Fallout Warning has a Spray-Paint style finish, with stenciled patterns in several coats of spray paint. The main red tint in the pattern makes the weapon eye-catching, while the pattern indexes don't affect the Fallout Warning finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 22.18 (-39.73%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 19.52 (-46.96%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 13.1 (-64.4%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 26.58 (-27.77%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.