XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear)

4.6 4954 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 9.93
+30.09%
Last month
$ 29.81
+227%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 28.08
-39.84%
In a quarter
$ 19.5
-58.22%
In half a year
$ 18.99
-59.31%
In a year
$ 29.43
-36.95%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
👍 High
89% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
46 offers on 9 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
XM1014 | Incinegator inspecting XM1014 | Incinegator reloading XM1014 | Incinegator holding XM1014 | Incinegator pose-1 XM1014 | Incinegator pose-2 XM1014 | Incinegator pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 42.93
  • 7 days low: $ 33
  • 7 days high: $ 778
  • 7 days price change: 30.09%
  • 30 days low: $ 13.12
  • 30 days high: $ 778
  • 30 days price change: 227%
  • 90 days low: $ 9.4
  • 90 days high: $ 778
  • Year low: $ 8.53
  • Year high: $ 7 987
  • All time low: $ 8.53
  • All time high: $ 7 987
  • All time max offers: 70
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 4
  • Sales for last 7 days: 45
  • Sales for last 30 days: 224
  • Sales for last 90 days: 355
  • All time sales: 817
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: -1.36
  • Volatility: 22.74%
  • Liquidity: 6.74%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 28.08
  • Price forecast change in a month: -39.84%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 19.5
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -58.22%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 18.99
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -59.31%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 29.43
  • Price forecast change in a year: -36.95%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 11.42
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 11.42
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 12.26
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.84
7.36%
Result
👍 Success
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 12.57
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 12.49
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 12.49
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 27.2
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 14.71
117.77%
Result
👍 Success
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 11.42
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 11.42
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 11.08
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 12.26
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.84
7.36%
Result
👍 Success
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 12.57
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 12.49
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 12.49
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 10.79
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 9.4
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 14.39
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 13.71
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 13.53
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 13.5
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 12.9
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 13.2
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 14.17
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 27.2
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 14.71
117.77%
Result
👍 Success
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 49.52
Action
📉 Sell
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 15.55
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 23.91
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
89%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
46 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
45 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
13 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
$ 17.27 $ 44.72
10 offers on 2 markets
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
259 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
308 offers on 8 markets

Description

XM1014 | Incinerator Minimal Wear: Fully Automatic Aggressive shotgun, used with rapid fire for instilling fear; used when one needs firepower in close, personal combat-sure, reliable, and consistent. It has a rather striking custom paint job depicting an alligator burning in fire added to its formidable presence.

History

History

The XM1014 | Incinegator first appeared in the CS2 community on March 13th, 2019, when it was released in the Prisma Case. This visually striking skin quickly gained popularity due to its fiery and menacing appearance, designed by EGO DEATH.

Origin

Origin

The XM1014 | Incinerator has a sleek black and red design. It is obtainable through the Prisma Case container, which holds several other unique weapon skins. It also belongs to the exclusive Prisma Collection, showing just how rare and highly desired this skin is by Counter-Strike: Global Offensive players.

Popularity

Popularity

The Incinegator (XM1014 | Incinegator) - Minimal Wear has grown so popular among CS2 players that it has reached 90% popularity in the game. With its high demand and multiple sales, this skin is one of the most wanted skins in-game, which is why this item is highly desirable by players.

Rarity

Rarity

The XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) is one of 134 other skins in CS2 for shotgun weapons. Due to its rarity, it's among the most wanted drops out there, having a drop chance of just 3.2%.

Availability

Availability

The XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) is an affordable skin, with prices starting from $1.01 and going up to $28.22. To purchase this skin, it is widely available in various CS2 markets, making it highly accessible. Additionally, there are 234.6K units of the Incinegator in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value range for the XM1014 | Incinegator in the Minimal Wear-conditioned version runs from 0.14 through 0.65, making various wear such as Field-Tested, Well-Worn, and Battle-Scarred possible. For collectors, the StatTrak variant can come with each of the Incinegator exterior versions.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The XM1014 | Incinegator received an extremely positive community sentiment, with a massive amount of votes and an impressive average rating of 4.6 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg. This fact is further emphasized by its ownership among famous professional CS2 players such as flusha, s1mple, and seized.

Finish style

Finish style

This XM1014 has been painted using an Incinegator finish, which has a bright yellow tint on a fully customization pattern. The Incinegator finish doesn't change depending on the pattern index, making it perfect for an incredibly tough-looking yellow skin.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 28.08 (-39.84%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 19.5 (-58.22%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 18.99 (-59.31%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 29.43 (-36.95%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.14
Max: 0.65
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.