XM1014 | Incinegator (Well-Worn)

4.6 4905 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.18
+4.24%
Last month
$ 2.86
+182%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 3.89
-26.74%
In a quarter
$ 2.47
-53.48%
In half a year
$ 2.64
-50.28%
In a year
$ 3.61
-32.02%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
👍 High
67% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
79 offers on 9 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
12 offers
from $ 4.43
White.Market
White.Market
15 offers
from $ 5.23
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
5 offers
from $ 5.63
Steam
Steam
35 offers
from $ 6.94
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
1 offers
from $ 7.24
Bitskins
Bitskins
2 offers
from $ 11
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 11.71
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
6 offers
from $ 11.85
Skinport
Skinport
2 offers
from $ 80.83
Inspect skin
XM1014 | Incinegator (Well-Worn)
Gallery
XM1014 | Incinegator inspecting XM1014 | Incinegator reloading XM1014 | Incinegator holding XM1014 | Incinegator pose-1 XM1014 | Incinegator pose-2 XM1014 | Incinegator pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 4.43
  • 7 days low: $ 4.25
  • 7 days high: $ 1 911
  • 7 days price change: 4.24%
  • 30 days low: $ 1.57
  • 30 days high: $ 1 911
  • 30 days price change: 182%
  • 90 days low: $ 1.3
  • 90 days high: $ 1 911
  • Year low: $ 1.13
  • Year high: $ 1 911
  • All time low: $ 1.08
  • All time high: $ 1 911
  • All time max offers: 250
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 14
  • Sales for last 7 days: 153
  • Sales for last 30 days: 600
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1034
  • All time sales: 2785
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: -1.16
  • Volatility: 31.66%
  • Liquidity: 5.63%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 3.89
  • Price forecast change in a month: -26.74%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 2.47
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -53.48%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 2.64
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -50.28%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 3.61
  • Price forecast change in a year: -32.02%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the XM1014 | Incinegator (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1.66
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.66
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.63
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.97
58.43%
Result
👍 Success
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 1.66
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.66
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.52
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1.37
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1.38
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1.42
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.48
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.6
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.87
Action
🔥 Buy
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 1.53
Action
🔥 Buy
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 1.68
Action
🔥 Buy
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 1.61
Action
🔥 Buy
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 1.66
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.73
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.93
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.63
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.97
58.43%
Result
👍 Success
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 4.93
Action
📉 Sell
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.97
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 1.66
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
46 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
45 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
13 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
$ 17.27 $ 44.72
10 offers on 2 markets
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
259 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
308 offers on 8 markets

Description

XM1014 | Incinegator (Well-Worn) is a fearsome fully automatic shotgun with a big amount of firepower, capable of filling any area with a hailstorm of deadly pellets. It has a characteristic custom paint that clearly depicts an intimidating alligator spewing out flames, thus giving an even more ominous outlook to an otherwise intimidating firearm.

History

History

The XM1014 | Incinegator first appeared in the CS2 community on March 13th, 2019, when it was added to the game as part of the Prisma Case. This well-worn skin, designed by the extremely talented community artist "EGO DEATH," quickly found its way into players' hands looking to spice up their arsenals.

Origin

Origin

XM1014 | Incinegator (Well-Worn) This skin can be obtained by opening a Prisma Case container. It was also one of the featured skins in The Prisma Collection, boasting its fiery design and adding some flair to the battlefield.

Popularity

Popularity

The popularity of the XM1014 | Incinegator (Well-Worn) stands at a striking 90% within the CS2 community, firmly situating this weapon as one of the highest-in-demand in-game items. The high demand can be reasoned by the high average volume sold per day, together with its very high value.

Rarity

Rarity

XM1014 | Incinegator (Well-Worn) has a Classified grade and stands for one skin of 134 skins in-game, which belong to the Shotgun type. This pattern would be as extremely rare: just 3.2%, but the possibility was highly wanted because this category attracted many players, collectors as well.

Availability

Availability

The XM1014 | Incinegator (Well-Worn) is a budget-friendly skin, priced between $1.01 and $28.22, and is readily accessible on various markets. It enjoys high availability, with approximately 234.6K units currently residing in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the Well-Worn condition XM1014 | Incinegator lies in a spectrum from 0.37 to 0.45, an extremely battle-hardened look. There is even a StatTrak variant in this Well-Worn condition to make this really battle-scarred shotgun shine among collectors.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The well-worn CS2 XM1014 | Incinegator has more than 4.8K votes with an average rating of 4.6 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg. Furthermore, ownership by some of the best professional players, including flusha, s1mple, and seized, increases the desirability of the XM1014 | Incinegator within the CS2 community.

Finish style

Finish style

This well-worn XM1014 has been custom painted with a "Custom Paint Job" style and features the Incinegator finish. It's base color is a bright yellow tint which supports a variety of custom skins using any pattern index.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the XM1014 | Incinegator (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 3.89 (-26.74%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 2.47 (-53.48%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 2.64 (-50.28%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 3.61 (-32.02%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.65
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.