XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New)

4.7 479 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.42
+6.71%
Last month
$ 8.21
+57.09%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 13.41
-41.39%
In a quarter
$ 39.53
+72.77%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
20% - Forecast accuracy
20% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
402 offers on 10 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
White.Market
White.Market
105 offers
from $ 22.59
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
69 offers
from $ 23.13
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
88 offers
from $ 23.25
Skinport
Skinport
37 offers
from $ 24.57
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
13 offers
from $ 26.04
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
13 offers
from $ 28.94
Steam
Steam
47 offers
from $ 29.13
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
21 offers
from $ 29.84
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 37.89
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
8 offers
from $ 41.43
Inspect skin
XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New)
Gallery
XM1014 | Monster Melt inspecting XM1014 | Monster Melt reloading XM1014 | Monster Melt holding XM1014 | Monster Melt pose-1 XM1014 | Monster Melt pose-2 XM1014 | Monster Melt pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 22.59
  • 7 days low: $ 21.17
  • 7 days high: $ 222
  • 7 days price change: 6.71%
  • 30 days low: $ 14.38
  • 30 days high: $ 226
  • 30 days price change: 57.09%
  • 90 days low: $ 11.34
  • 90 days high: $ 226
  • Year low: $ 10.12
  • Year high: $ 2 312
  • All time low: $ 10.12
  • All time high: $ 2 312
  • All time max offers: 410
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 30
  • Sales for last 7 days: 207
  • Sales for last 30 days: 870
  • Sales for last 90 days: 2042
  • All time sales: 4880
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 1.37
  • Volatility: 14.53%
  • Liquidity: 36.16%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 13.41
  • Price forecast change in a month: -41.39%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 39.53
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 72.77%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 13.71
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 12.63
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 12.61
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 11.96
Action
📉 Sell
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 13.12
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 20.7
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 20.7
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 13.71
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 12.63
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 12.43
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 12.26
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 12.61
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 11.96
Action
📉 Sell
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 12.1
Action
📉 Sell
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 13.12
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 13.71
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 19.72
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 20.7
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 20.7
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 17.94
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 19.51
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 23.55
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 16.79
Action
🔥 Buy
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 17.94
Action
🔥 Buy
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 23.53
Action
🔥 Buy
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 20.7
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
20%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
20%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
52 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
46 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
12 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
260 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
306 offers on 8 markets

Description

The XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) is a formidable automatic shotgun that delivers rapid and devastating firepower in close-quarters combat scenarios. Its unique design features a custom paint job depicting a collection of menacing monsters, adding a touch of personality to its deadly performance.

History

History

The XM1014 | Monster Melt was first introduced to CS2 7 months ago, on October 2nd, 2024. It was released as part of the "The Armory" update, featuring a unique factory new skin that quickly became popular among players for its striking design.

Origin

Origin

The XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) skin is not available through case openings; it is exclusively part of The Overpass 2024 Collection. This skin was introduced as a limited edition item, adding a unique and sought-after design to the game.

Popularity

Popularity

With a popularity of 85%, the XM1014 | Monster Melt in Factory New condition is highly sought after, ranking among the top items in CS2. This popularity measurement considers factors such as daily sales volume and skin price, indicating a strong demand for this particular skin.

Rarity

Rarity

The XM1014 | Monster Melt is one of 155 other Shotgun skins in CS2. Its rarity is classified as Restricted, indicating that the Monster Melt is a relatively uncommon drop with an estimated drop chance of 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

Priced between $2.78 and $10.06, the XM1014 | Monster Melt in Factory New condition offers an affordable option for CS2 players. This skin is readily available across various marketplaces, making it easily accessible for those looking to add it to their collection.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the XM1014 | Monster Melt in CS2 ranges from 0.00 to 0.75, allowing for a variety of wear conditions in all exteriors. This skin does not have any StatTrak or Souvenir versions in CS2.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The XM1014 | Monster Melt has garnered more than 600 votes on addskins.gg, resulting in an impressive average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. This sought-after skin is prominently featured in the inventories of renowned CS2 players such as olofmeister, s1mple, and NiKo.

Finish style

Finish style

The XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) features a unique finish style known as "Monster Melt," offering a highly customizable appearance with a full spectrum of colors. The primary hue of this skin is a vibrant pink shade, unaffected by pattern indexes, and it is designed to showcase its intricate details on the new CS2 model.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 13.41 (-41.39%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 39.53 (72.77%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.75
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.