XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New)

4.9 4982 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.03
+2.78%
Last month
$ 0.03
+2.78%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1.04
-6.31%
In a quarter
$ 1.04
-6.31%
In half a year
$ 1.24
+11.71%
In a year
$ 2.47
+123.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
50% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
83 offers on 8 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
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from $ 1.79
ShadowPay
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from $ 1.83
Steam
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32 offers
from $ 2.01
Waxpeer
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2 offers
from $ 2.06
Skinport
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14 offers
from $ 2.21
Bitskins
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1 offers
from $ 2.79
Inspect skin
XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New)
Gallery
XM1014 | Scumbria inspecting XM1014 | Scumbria reloading XM1014 | Scumbria holding XM1014 | Scumbria pose-1 XM1014 | Scumbria pose-2 XM1014 | Scumbria pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1.11
  • 7 days low: $ 1.08
  • 7 days high: $ 53.57
  • 7 days price change: 2.78%
  • 30 days low: $ 1.08
  • 30 days high: $ 54.32
  • 30 days price change: 2.78%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.78
  • 90 days high: $ 54.32
  • Year low: $ 0.54
  • Year high: $ 125
  • All time low: $ 0.47
  • All time high: $ 125
  • All time max offers: 149
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 7
  • Sales for last 7 days: 69
  • Sales for last 30 days: 229
  • Sales for last 90 days: 574
  • All time sales: 1689
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 2.51
  • Volatility: 21.66%
  • Liquidity: 12.78%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1.04
  • Price forecast change in a month: -6.31%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1.04
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -6.31%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 1.24
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 11.71%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 2.47
  • Price forecast change in a year: 123.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.8
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.8
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.8
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.8
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.8
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.86
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.77
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.84
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.82
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.91
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.99
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 0.96
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 1.19
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 1.12
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 1.19
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.27
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.4
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.27
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 1.09
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.8
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
50%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
51 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
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Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
46 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
12 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
$ 17.27 $ 44.71
10 offers on 2 markets
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
258 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
308 offers on 8 markets

Description

The XM1014 | Scumbria is a fearsome full-automatic shotgun, known to spew out lethal pellets at an amazing rate that makes anyone's life in the battle arena a living hell. Its slender form is accented in metallic paint, suggesting a subtle approach to catching Valeria's eye in the dramatic conclusion of "A Father's Love" storyline.

History

History

XM1014 | Scumbria was first added to the game on September 17th, 2015, when the Shadow Case was added during the "Shadow Boxing" update. This brilliant skin was designed by one of the highly-skilled community designers, G-99Factory, and immediately caught players' eyes due to the way it presents complex details against the skin and because of the individuality.

Origin

Origin

XM1014 | Scumbria, which was added from the container of Shadow Case for CS2, appeared being a part of The Shadow Collection. It gave so much to the game: realistic and something that one wanted.

Popularity

Popularity

Being among the top 25% of the most highly sought-after goods, the Factory New XM1014 | Scumbria represents a popular trend among players due to its substantial demand in sale volume and higher price among this community.

Rarity

Rarity

The XM1014 | Scumbria is one of the 134 other Shotgun skins in CS2, making the skin a rather common find. With the rarity classification of Mil-Spec Grade, the Scumbria has an estimated drop chance of 79.92%, making it regularly found on the battlefield.

Availability

Availability

The XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New) is an affordable skin because its price only ranges between $0.07 and $1.55, thus allowing a wide range of players to afford it. Secondly, the skin is available for sale in bulk in the CS2 market at the present time because there are 473.4K units of it that are in public inventories.

Versions

Versions

The XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New) is one of the most popular CS2 skins, having a float value in a range from 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it's available in all exterior skins. Moreover, each of the exterior versions of the Scumbria skin has its StatTrak version, which makes this skin truly desired among players.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New) for CS2 received one of the best community feedbacks: more than 4.9K votes on addskins.gg and an average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is further reinforced by its ownership among professional players like aizy and zeus.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New XM1014 | Scumbria sports a very sleek and modern exterior design mixed with a patina finish to give it that unique, weathered look and feel. The overall gray predominant color adds class, while the Scumbria finish is exactly the same for all pattern indexes, which makes the skin always look the same, no matter the variation.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 1.04 (-6.31%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 1.04 (-6.31%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 1.24 (11.71%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 2.47 (123.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players