XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn)

4.9 5096 reviews
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Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.147
-1.87%
In a quarter
$ 0.153
+1.8%
In half a year
$ 0.175
+16.73%
In a year
$ 0.251
+67.13%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
60% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
192 offers on 8 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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White.Market
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from $ 0.24
Steam
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72 offers
from $ 0.24
Lis-skins
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7 offers
from $ 0.32
Waxpeer
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2 offers
from $ 0.328
CSGO.COM
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16 offers
from $ 0.328
ShadowPay
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2 offers
from $ 0.33
Inspect skin
XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn)
Gallery
XM1014 | Scumbria inspecting XM1014 | Scumbria reloading XM1014 | Scumbria holding XM1014 | Scumbria pose-1 XM1014 | Scumbria pose-2 XM1014 | Scumbria pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.14
  • 7 days low: $ 0.14
  • 7 days high: $ 25 500
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.14
  • 30 days high: $ 25 500
  • 30 days price change: 0%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.12
  • 90 days high: $ 25 500
  • Year low: $ 0.09
  • Year high: $ 25 500
  • All time low: $ 0.05
  • All time high: $ 25 500
  • All time max offers: 322
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 33
  • Sales for last 7 days: 265
  • Sales for last 30 days: 755
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1616
  • All time sales: 4765
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 2.13
  • Volatility: 15.11%
  • Liquidity: 10.46%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.147
  • Price forecast change in a month: -1.87%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.153
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 1.8%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.175
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 16.73%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.251
  • Price forecast change in a year: 67.13%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.14
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.14
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.14
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.12
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.12
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.137
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.129
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.13
Action
🔥 Buy
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.13
Action
🔥 Buy
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.13
Action
🔥 Buy
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.15
Action
🔥 Buy
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.15
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.15
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.15
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.14
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
60%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
51 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
46 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
12 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
258 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
308 offers on 8 markets

Description

The XM1014 | Scumbria is a formidable fully automatic shotgun that commands attention with its rapid-fire capabilities, making it a force to be reckoned with in close quarters combat. Its sleek design is enhanced by a subtle application of metallic paints, reflecting the calculated approach needed to catch Valeria's eye in the gripping conclusion of "A Father's Love" trilogy.

History

History

The XM1014 | Scumbria made its first appearance in CS2 on September 17th, 2015, when it was added to the Shadow Case during the "Shadow Boxing" update. This great skin, painted by genius community artist G-99Factory, right away took players' Fancy and started playing due to the dirty and rusty outlook of it.

Origin

Origin

XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn) - This is a shotgun skin available through a Shadow Case container. Scumbria is one of the skins featured in The Shadow Collection, a list of weapon finishes designed to add darkness and mystery to the game.

Popularity

Popularity

The XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn) holds a high popularity score among CS2 skins, standing in the top 25% of the most popular items with a score of 75%. Such high demand is determined by its consistent daily sales volume and its price, which makes it highly desired for many players.

Rarity

Rarity

XM1014 | Scumbria is one of the 134 skins existing in CS2, part of the Shotgun family. It falls under Mil-Spec Grade and thus this drop is fairly ordinary, reflected in the estimated drop chance being at 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn) skin would be relatively cheap - its price ranges from $0.07 to $1.55, depending on its condition. Moreover, it can be easily purchased on any public market since this skin can be easily included in any inventory. Besides, having 473.4K units in the public CS2 inventories, this item is very well-represented.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn) in CS2 is from 0.38 to 0.45, making it look quite worn out, with scratches and wear marks quite noticeable. In addition, a StatTrak version is also available for Well-Worn Scumbria for collectors and enthusiasts, which lets players track the kills they gain with this particular skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn) for CS2, above all, has an extremely positive community sentiment because more than 4.9K votes on addskins.gg resulted in a rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. It's popular enough that two famous pro players, aizy and zeus, have this in their inventory.

Finish style

Finish style

XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn) has a patina finish, which simulates how a chemical reaction on metal hardens the shell. The large amount of graying on the body adds to the realism of the skin, and pattern indexes have no effect on the Scumbria finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 0.147 (-1.87%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 0.153 (1.8%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.175 (16.73%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.251 (67.13%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players