XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New)

4.8 2357 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.77
+7.37%
Last month
$ 6.3
+32.36%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 23.31
-8.55%
In a quarter
$ 19.94
-21.77%
In half a year
$ 22.28
-12.59%
In a year
$ 33.05
+29.66%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
86% - Forecast accuracy
58% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
53 offers on 9 markets
Updated5 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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from $ 25.77
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from $ 28.37
Avan.Market
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1 offers
from $ 28.56
Lis-skins
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5 offers
from $ 29.28
Waxpeer
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1 offers
from $ 29.3
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
7 offers
from $ 29.3
White.Market
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8 offers
from $ 29.34
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 37.23
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
2 offers
from $ 40.17
Inspect skin
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New)
Gallery
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue inspecting XM1014 | VariCamo Blue reloading XM1014 | VariCamo Blue holding XM1014 | VariCamo Blue pose-1 XM1014 | VariCamo Blue pose-2 XM1014 | VariCamo Blue pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 25.77
  • 24h price change: 2.14%
  • 7 days low: $ 24
  • 7 days high: $ 100
  • 7 days price change: 7.37%
  • 30 days low: $ 19.47
  • 30 days high: $ 274
  • 30 days price change: 32.36%
  • 90 days low: $ 12.04
  • 90 days high: $ 274
  • Year low: $ 12.04
  • Year high: $ 274
  • All time low: $ 9
  • All time high: $ 274
  • All time max offers: 70
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 9
  • Sales for last 30 days: 40
  • Sales for last 90 days: 87
  • All time sales: 207
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 0.2673
  • Volatility: 16.21%
  • Liquidity: 6.6%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 23.31
  • Price forecast change in a month: -8.55%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 19.94
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -21.77%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 22.28
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -12.59%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 33.05
  • Price forecast change in a year: 29.66%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 15.43
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 15.43
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 27
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 11.57
74.98%
Result
👍 Success
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 27.52
Action
✋ Hold
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 24.68
Action
❌ Avoid
November 4, 2025
Price
$ 15.43
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 15.43
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 14.83
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 14.8
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 13.61
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 13.61
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 13.92
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 14.63
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 15.14
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 16.91
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 17.64
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 16.9
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 14.63
Action
🔥 Buy
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 27
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 11.57
74.98%
Result
👍 Success
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 29.05
Action
📉 Sell
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 27.52
Action
✋ Hold
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 24.68
Action
❌ Avoid
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 11.57
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 15.43
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
86%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
58%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
52 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
46 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
12 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
260 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
306 offers on 8 markets

Description

The XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) is a powerful fully automatic shotgun with incredible firepower and a very fast rate of fire, making it a very dangerous opponent on the battlefield. Its sleek appearance is complemented by a striking VariCamo patterned hydrographic in several shades of blue, adding some class to its destructive power.

History

History

The XM1014 | VariCamo Blue first came into CS2 on July 1st, 2014, when it was released as part of the Paris 2023 Overpass Souvenir Package. Immediately after its addition, this stylish shotgun gained significant hype among players, and subsequently its popularity increased with the release of the "Operation Breakout" update, during which it became one of the highly demanded rifle skins.

Origin

Origin

XM1014 | VariCamo Blue - can be pulled straight out of one of the 17 cases this skin is available in: Antwerp 2022 Overpass Souvenir Package, Atlanta 2017 Overpass Souvenir Package, and Berlin 2019 Overpass Souvenir Package. This knife is part of the collection The Overpass Collection, which makes this skin very well-liked among collectors and fans.

Popularity

Popularity

Meanwhile, the XM1014 | VariCamo Blue boasts an incredible rating of 75% popularity among the most in-demand CS2 skins, securing its place within the top 25% of the game's most desirable skins. The high level of popularity is determined through the analysis of two factors: a skin's daily sales volume and market price, making the weapon exceptionally popular.

Rarity

Rarity

The XM1014 | VariCamo Blue is a skin from 134 different shotgun skins in CS2. The rarity of this skin is Mil-Spec Grade, and as expected, it is fairly common with an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The XM1014 | VariCamo Blue skin for CS2 is a budget-friendly option, priced between $0.16 and $10.78. It is easily accessible as it is widely available on various markets, making it convenient for players to purchase. Additionally, there is a significant number of 28.8K units of the VariCamo Blue skin currently in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

Due to the fact that the float range of the XM1014 | VariCamo Blue in Factory New condition ranges from 0.00 to 0.50, the skin is obtainable in every exterior condition by players. Furthermore, each possible exterior variant is available as a Souvenir for collectors.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The XM1014 | VariCamo Blue has a skin rating of above average, coming in at an average rating of 4.8 out of 5-star reviews over a total of over 2.3K votes on addskins.gg. However, its most popular ownership isn't in normal players, instead, it seems to be owed by such top players as pyth, daps, and alex.

Finish style

Finish style

The pattern index of the VariCamo Blue finish determines just how intense, dense the blue tint is over this XM1014, producing a look so varied that barely any two of these weapons would be alike. The hydrographic application method gives the overall finish depth and texture, making this a visually striking and realistic representation of a camouflage pattern.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 23.31 (-8.55%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 19.94 (-21.77%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 22.28 (-12.59%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 33.05 (29.66%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.