XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Minimal Wear)

4.8 2410 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 3.23
+39.49%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 11.29
-11.59%
In a quarter
$ 11.53
-9.71%
In half a year
$ 12.48
-2.27%
In a year
$ 20.28
+58.81%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
84% - Forecast accuracy
75% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
18 offers on 7 markets
Updated8 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
White.Market
White.Market
2 offers
from $ 11.41
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 11.53
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 11.7
Steam
Steam
10 offers
from $ 12.77
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
2 offers
from $ 13.1
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 18.86
Skinport
Skinport
1 offers
from $ 37.24
Inspect skin
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue inspecting XM1014 | VariCamo Blue reloading XM1014 | VariCamo Blue holding XM1014 | VariCamo Blue pose-1 XM1014 | VariCamo Blue pose-2 XM1014 | VariCamo Blue pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 11.41
  • 7 days low: $ 11.41
  • 7 days high: $ 37.24
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 8.18
  • 30 days high: $ 37.52
  • 30 days price change: 39.49%
  • 90 days low: $ 7.95
  • 90 days high: $ 58.59
  • Year low: $ 7.79
  • Year high: $ 58.59
  • All time low: $ 7.64
  • All time high: $ 58.59
  • All time max offers: 68
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 2
  • Sales for last 7 days: 12
  • Sales for last 30 days: 68
  • Sales for last 90 days: 168
  • All time sales: 407
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 1.11
  • Volatility: 29.8%
  • Liquidity: 5.28%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 11.29
  • Price forecast change in a month: -11.59%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 11.53
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -9.71%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 12.48
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -2.27%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 20.28
  • Price forecast change in a year: 58.81%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 12.77
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 12.77
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 14.73
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.96
15.36%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 15
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 11.36
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 11.36
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 12.77
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 12.77
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 9.25
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 12.15
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 11.47
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 11.44
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 11.25
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 12.16
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 12.22
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 12.24
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 11.96
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 12.25
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 11.61
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 14.73
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.96
15.36%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 15
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 11.36
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 11.36
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 12
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 1.96
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 24.13
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
84%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
75%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
46 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
45 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
13 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
259 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
308 offers on 8 markets

Description

The XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Minimal Wear) is a powerful shotgun, fully automatic in its firing rate, thus showering lead upon enemies to be reckoned with on the battlefield. Its striking VariCamo patterned hydrographic paint job adds style to the weapon, serving as a reminder that sometimes, creation can emerge from the aftermath of destruction.

History

History

The XM1014 | VariCamo Blue first appeared in CS2 on July 1st, 2014, when it was released as a new addition in the Paris 2023 Overpass Souvenir Package. It was released along with the "Operation Breakout" update, adding fresh, striking camouflage to the XM1014 shotgun.

Origin

Origin

This well-worn skin of XM1014 | VariCamo Blue can be obtained by opening such cases as Antwerp 2022 Overpass Souvenir Package, Atlanta 2017 Overpass Souvenir Package, and Berlin 2019 Overpass Souvenir Package. Besides, it is included in The Overpass Collection, which makes it highly desirable for CS2 players.

Popularity

Popularity

XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Minimal Wear) - A very popular skin in the CS2 community, with an average popularity of 75%. Because it is a rather expensive skin, it is part of the top 25 percent most expensive skins in the game in terms of its sales volume and price.

Rarity

Rarity

XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Minimal Wear) is one of 134 other skins for shotgun available in CS2. This skin comes under the Mil-Spec Grade, which falls in the rather common drop and has an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

XM1014 | VariCamo Blue Minimal Wear The CS2 skin goes from as low as $0.16 to a high of $10.78, which is very affordable and quite inexpensive to the gamer community. The item exists across many markets in plenty of supply and, thus, very easy for the players to get. Attesting to that fact, it's observed that 28.8K units of the VariCamo Blue exist in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the XM1014 | VariCamo Blue in Minimal Wear condition ranges from 0.00 to 0.50, which means that players can get this skin in any exterior quality, starting from Factory New and up to Battle-Scarred. Moreover, for each of these exteriors, collectors can also find a Souvenir version of the VariCamo Blue, further adding to the skin's rarity and desirability.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

XM1014 | VariCamo Blue received one of the highest ratings within the CS2 community. The skin had over a considerable number of votes on addskins.gg, managing to achieve an average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. That's how popular this skin is, and its owners include pyth, daps, and alex, to name a few professional players.

Finish style

Finish style

The pattern index is responsible for the density of the blue camouflage patterning. The less pattern index, the more sparse and faded the camouflage appears; therefore, with a higher one, the pattern appears more dense and vibrant. The balance between the blues within the XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Minimal Wear) is sufficient to make this camouflage quite visually attractive, adding a little more of stealth and style to the weapon.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 11.29 (-11.59%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 11.53 (-9.71%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 12.48 (-2.27%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 20.28 (58.81%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.