XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Well-Worn)

4.8 2308 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 4.59
+28.81%
Last month
$ 4.65
+29.3%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 17.32
-15.59%
In a quarter
$ 21.42
+4.39%
In half a year
$ 26.17
+27.53%
In a year
$ 20.83
+1.51%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
67% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
8 offers on 3 markets
Updated8 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
5 offers
from $ 15.93
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 38
Steam
Steam
2 offers
from $ 45.43
Inspect skin
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Well-Worn)
Gallery
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue inspecting XM1014 | VariCamo Blue reloading XM1014 | VariCamo Blue holding XM1014 | VariCamo Blue pose-1 XM1014 | VariCamo Blue pose-2 XM1014 | VariCamo Blue pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 20.52
  • 24h price change: 28.65%
  • 7 days low: $ 15.93
  • 7 days high: $ 45.43
  • 7 days price change: 28.81%
  • 30 days low: $ 15.87
  • 30 days high: $ 45.43
  • 30 days price change: 29.3%
  • 90 days low: $ 15.35
  • 90 days high: $ 56.32
  • Year low: $ 7.75
  • Year high: $ 71.67
  • All time low: $ 7.75
  • All time high: $ 71.67
  • All time max offers: 28
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 4
  • Sales for last 30 days: 6
  • Sales for last 90 days: 14
  • All time sales: 30
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 4.95
  • Volatility: 8.65%
  • Liquidity: 2.68%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 17.32
  • Price forecast change in a month: -15.59%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 21.42
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 4.39%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 26.17
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 27.53%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 20.83
  • Price forecast change in a year: 1.51%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 20.6
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 20.6
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 20.6
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 20.6
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 20.23
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 20.5
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 19.78
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 19.77
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 18.57
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 17.67
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 17.3
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 15.89
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 15.89
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 15.67
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 16.07
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 16.06
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 16.16
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 17.44
Action
🔥 Buy
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 20.52
Action
🔥 Buy
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 20.6
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
46 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
45 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
13 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
259 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
308 offers on 8 markets

Description

The XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Well-Worn) is a deadly shotgun that is quick on the fire and can turn any enclosed area into a kill zone. Its elegant design is complemented with a hydrographic finish in the pattern of VariCamo, featuring shades of blue, expressing rebuilding after destruction.

History

History

The XM1014 | VariCamo Blue first appeared in the virtual battlefields of CS2 on July 1st, 2014, in the highly anticipated "Operation Breakout" update. This rugged shotgun was exclusively obtainable through the Paris 2023 Overpass Souvenir Package, adding a touch of stylish camouflage to players' arsenals.

Origin

Origin

XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Well-Worn) - This skin can be acquired from one of the 17 cases in which this skin is present, namely Antwerp 2022 Overpass Souvenir Package, Atlanta 2017 Overpass Souvenir Package, and Berlin 2019 Overpass Souvenir Package. This skin also forms part of the collection of The Overpass Collection, which is a collection in CS2 that includes skins inspired by the Overpass map.

Popularity

Popularity

The XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Well-Worn) has a popularity of 75%, which is one of the highest. Due to that, it is within the top 25% of most popular CS2 skins. This judgment is based on the frequency of sales and good average pricing.

Rarity

Rarity

The XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Well-Worn) is one of 134 other Shotgun skins existing in CS2. This skin is of Mil-Spec Grade rarity, making it a relatively common drop, with an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Well-Worn) is one of the most affordable skins. Its price lies in a range from $0.16 up to $10.78. Also, this skin is very easy to get via the market because it has quite a large float of 28.8K units which are available in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Well-Worn) is between 0.38-0.45, which is worn out due to scratches and abrasions; the player may also get it as a souvenir in all skin types of this camouflage.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The XM1014 | VariCamo Blue gained serious attention in the community. It received an enormous amount of votes in addskins.gg with an outstanding average rating of 4.8 out of 5-star ratings. Another reason why it's popular among players-it is owned by such famous pros as pyth, daps, and alex.

Finish style

Finish style

This XM1014 features a Hydrographic style finish, where the weapon parts are submersed in a water tank and then covered with a floating film carries the desired pattern. The major color of this skin is an impressive blue tint, and a pattern index will determine the overall appearance of the VariCamo Blue finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 17.32 (-15.59%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 21.42 (4.39%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 26.17 (27.53%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 20.83 (1.51%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to buy.