XM1014 | Watchdog (Battle-Scarred)

4.9 1167 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.33
+53.23%
Last month
$ 0.4
+72.73%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.84
-11.58%
In a quarter
$ 0.84
-11.58%
In half a year
$ 0.97
+2.11%
In a year
$ 1.77
+86.32%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
25% - Forecast accuracy
25% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
220 offers on 8 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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from $ 0.95
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from $ 1.07
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from $ 1.13
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from $ 1.17
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54 offers
from $ 1.17
Bitskins
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2 offers
from $ 1.18
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24 offers
from $ 1.26
Inspect skin
XM1014 | Watchdog (Battle-Scarred)
Gallery
XM1014 | Watchdog inspecting XM1014 | Watchdog reloading XM1014 | Watchdog holding XM1014 | Watchdog pose-1 XM1014 | Watchdog pose-2 XM1014 | Watchdog pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.95
  • 24h price change: 14.46%
  • 7 days low: $ 0.62
  • 7 days high: $ 7.43
  • 7 days price change: 53.23%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.55
  • 30 days high: $ 7.43
  • 30 days price change: 72.73%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.55
  • 90 days high: $ 9.53
  • Year low: $ 0.38
  • Year high: $ 180
  • All time low: $ 0.338
  • All time high: $ 180
  • All time max offers: 272
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 19
  • Sales for last 7 days: 207
  • Sales for last 30 days: 768
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1590
  • All time sales: 4324
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 2.54
  • Volatility: 12.01%
  • Liquidity: 8.48%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.84
  • Price forecast change in a month: -11.58%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.84
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -11.58%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.97
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 2.11%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 1.77
  • Price forecast change in a year: 86.32%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the XM1014 | Watchdog (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.66
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.66
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.66
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.66
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.68
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.66
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.63
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.66
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.86
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.69
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.8
Action
🔥 Buy
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.79
Action
🔥 Buy
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.78
Action
🔥 Buy
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.78
Action
🔥 Buy
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.79
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.81
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.85
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.65
Action
🔥 Buy
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 0.95
Action
🔥 Buy
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.66
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
25%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
25%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
52 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
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$ 16.32
42%
From last month
46 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
13 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
260 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
305 offers on 8 markets

Description

The XM1014 | Watchdog (Battle-Scarred) is an automatic shotgun with a ferocious fire rate and overwhelming damage when one tries to stop it. The jade green base house two guardian lions, ever watchful to protect against danger, though one defends against evil, so that all may bring fortune to the battlefield.

History

History

The StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Battle-Scarred) first popped into existence on September 21st, 2021, when it was added to the game as part of the Operation Riptide Case during the "Operation Riptide" update. This striking look came through the close mind of the community designer named "Zaphk."

Origin

Origin

The release of the Operation Riptide update drove the XM1014 | Watchdog (Battle-Scarred) into the Counter-Strike: Global Offensive community. This skin is available to owners via the container Operation Riptide Case, which is filled with many special in-game finishes for weapons.

Popularity

Popularity

The skin of XM1014 | Watchdog has extremely high demand among the CS2 community, holding the popularity rating of 85%, hence it's occupying the top 15% on the Community Market, judging by its day-to-day sales volume and current price.

Rarity

Rarity

The XM1014 | Watchdog (Battle-Scarred) is one of 134 other shotgun skins that exist in CS2. The skin has a Mil-Spec Grade rarity and thus is relatively easy to obtain, having a drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The XM1014 | Watchdog (Battle-Scarred) is a relatively cheap skin, starting at $0.19 and reaching as high as $7.43. It's the most commonly available skin and can be bought on many different markets, with 963.9K units in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the XM1014 | Watchdog (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 ranges from 0.45 to 1.00, which has various scratches with heavy wear and tear, and major signs of battle. Secondly, in each exterior, one can also get a StatTrak version of the Watchdog, which lets players track their kills with this battle-worn shotgun.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Watchdog - A Battle-Scarred version of the XM1014 for CS2 is highly liked by the community, having an average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars and boasts over 1.1K votes on addskins.gg. Famous professional players coldzera and s1mple own this skin, which adds to its reputation.

Finish style

Finish style

This battle-scarred XM1014 boasts the worn "Gunsmith" style, the Watchdog finish, masterfully blending patina with custom paint applications. The captivating coloration in earthy tones of green and brown gives an organic and weathered appearance, while pattern indexes have no effect on the unique Watchdog design.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the XM1014 | Watchdog (Battle-Scarred) is expected fall down to $ 0.84 (-11.58%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.84 (-11.58%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.97 (2.11%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 1.77 (86.32%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.72
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players