Pistol
Knife
Machinegun
Glove

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) This was the most intimidating fully automatic shotgun in-game that could lay out a storm of lethal projectiles at amazing speed. The striking jade green base with intricately painted guardian lions represents protection and prosperity. A third lion sits artfully below the rear sight, a constant reminder of this weapon's watchful presence.
The XM1014 | Watchdog was presented to the CS2 community on September 21st, 2021, together with the Operation Riptide Case, which appeared with the release of the "Operation Riptide" update. This striking skin was elaborately created by the highly talented community designer "Zaphk," who put his creativity and attention to detail into it.
The Factory New XM1014 | Watchdog is one of the more popular skins, and it comes from the Operation Riptide Case container that can reward a player with getting a few special skins for firearms. This skin is one of the most valued items in the Operation Riptide Collection: a set of carefully crafted designs available only during the operation.
The XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) is extremely popular and is for now in the top 15% of the rarest skins in CS2. Such a conclusion can be drawn by the very high sales volumes occurring with this skin, and the high price the skin costs obviously is driven by very strong demand from buyers.
The XM1014 | Watchdog is a pretty common in-game shotgun skin featuring a float value of 134 other skins. This skin is of Mil-Spec Grade rarity and has an estimated drop chance of 79.92%, hence pretty common in-game.
The XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) has a relatively modest price, which ranges from $0.19 to $7.43, so this skin is available for players of any budget. At this moment, this skin is highly obtainable since this skin is available in several markets, and there're about 963.9K units of Watchdog skin in public CS2 inventories.
Factory New, the float value of the XM1014 | Watchdog ranges from 0.00 to 1.00, meaning this skin can be found in all of its exteriors, of consistently consistent quality. Adding on to that, each exterior iteration of the Watchdog has a StatTrak option for those that want to track their kills in style.
The XM1014 | Watchdog has garnered significant community support, with over 1.1K votes on addskins.gg and an impressive average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is further solidified by its ownership by renowned professional CS2 players coldzera and s1mple, highlighting its desirability among competitive gamers.
This Factory New XM1014 | Watchdog has a "Gunsmith" style applied in an impeccable manner, boasting a bold combination of patina with custom paint. The skin comes in an interesting mix of green and brown colors, while pattern indexes have no effect on the distinctive Watchdog finish.
According to the forecast, the price of the XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 4.22 (-14.05%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 4.95 (0.81%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 5.99 (22.0%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 10.23 (108.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.