XM1014 | Watchdog (Field-Tested)

4.9 1275 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.05
+4.72%
Last month
$ 0.44
+65.67%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1.09
+2.83%
In a quarter
$ 1.19
+12.26%
In half a year
$ 1.4
+32.08%
In a year
$ 2.14
+102.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
79% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
183 offers on 8 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
23 offers
from $ 1.11
White.Market
White.Market
15 offers
from $ 1.3
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
13 offers
from $ 1.33
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
50 offers
from $ 1.38
Skinport
Skinport
27 offers
from $ 1.52
Bitskins
Bitskins
6 offers
from $ 1.69
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 1.78
Steam
Steam
48 offers
from $ 1.89
Inspect skin
XM1014 | Watchdog (Field-Tested)
Gallery
XM1014 | Watchdog inspecting XM1014 | Watchdog reloading XM1014 | Watchdog holding XM1014 | Watchdog pose-1 XM1014 | Watchdog pose-2 XM1014 | Watchdog pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1.11
  • 24h price change: 4.72%
  • 7 days low: $ 1.06
  • 7 days high: $ 14.65
  • 7 days price change: 4.72%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.67
  • 30 days high: $ 14.65
  • 30 days price change: 65.67%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.67
  • 90 days high: $ 14.65
  • Year low: $ 0.65
  • Year high: $ 182
  • All time low: $ 0.57
  • All time high: $ 182
  • All time max offers: 299
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 45
  • Sales for last 7 days: 431
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1623
  • Sales for last 90 days: 3333
  • All time sales: 9494
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 5.79
  • Volatility: 9.38%
  • Liquidity: 11.81%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1.09
  • Price forecast change in a month: 2.83%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1.19
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 12.26%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 1.4
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 32.08%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 2.14
  • Price forecast change in a year: 102.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the XM1014 | Watchdog (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.12
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.12
12.00%
Result
👍 Success
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 1.22
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.22
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 1
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.01
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.96
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.95
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.92
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.05
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.12
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.12
12.00%
Result
👍 Success
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 1.22
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.22
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 1.2
Action
🔥 Buy
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 1.21
Action
🔥 Buy
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 1.28
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.34
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.27
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.99
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 1.09
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.12
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 2.22
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
79%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
52 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
46 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
13 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
260 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
305 offers on 8 markets

Description

The XM1014 | Watchdog is an extremely dangerous fully automatic shotgun, and one would say worth the investment when enemies are learning the meaning of the word intimidation with a rapid-fire capability. This skin features a sleek jade green finish, adorned by two watchful guardian lions at each side, while a third stands guard below the rear sight to protect and bring prosperity.

History

History

The StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Battle-Scarred) first popped into existence on September 21st, 2021, when it was added to the game as part of the Operation Riptide Case during the "Operation Riptide" update. This striking look came through the close mind of the community designer named "Zaphk."

Origin

Origin

This battle-worn shotgun, XM1014 | Watchdog, was used in operation by the famous counter-terrorism unit during Operation Riptide. The skin is available via opening Operation Riptide Case containers or trading with fellow operatives.

Popularity

Popularity

The Field-Tested XM1014 | Watchdog is one of the most popular skins within the CS2 community, with an 85% popularity rating. For context, this means that it's within the top 15% of the most sold items, taking into consideration the skin's sales volume per day and its market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The XM1014 | Watchdog is a relatively common skin, which holds 134th place out of all CS2 Shotgun skins. This skin has Mil-Spec Grade rarity and an estimated drop chance of 79.92%, making it one of the more common skins within the game.

Availability

Availability

XM1014 | Watchdog (Field-Tested) is a relatively cheap skin, between $0.19-$7.43 in price, and is widely available, which makes it easy to get through multiple markets. Approximate total supply: 963.9K units circulating in the public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

In CS2, the float value for the XM1014 | Watchdog (Field-Tested) is between 0.00 and 1.00, which guarantees that this particular skin of the weapon is available in all skins. Furthermore, a StatTrak version of the Watchdog is also present in every skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The XM1014 | Watchdog has received enough love from the community, amassing more than 1.1K votes on addskins.gg, and has an impressive average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is further cemented by the fact that ownership includes renowned professional CS2 players such as coldzera and s1mple.

Finish style

Finish style

This Field-Tested XM1014 | Watchdog features a "Gunsmith" style with a unique blend of patina and custom paint applications. The skin proudly shows off an eye-catching color combination of green and brown while pattern indexes don't change the striking Watchdog finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the XM1014 | Watchdog (Field-Tested) is expected grow to $ 1.09 (2.83%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 1.19 (12.26%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 1.4 (32.08%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 2.14 (102.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.26
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players