XM1014 | Watchdog (Well-Worn)

4.9 1218 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.28
+41.18%
Last month
$ 0.34
+54.84%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.78
+2.63%
In a quarter
$ 0.87
+14.47%
In half a year
$ 1.05
+38.16%
In a year
$ 1.59
+109.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
43% - Forecast accuracy
43% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
135 offers on 8 markets
Updated5 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
25 offers
from $ 0.96
White.Market
White.Market
10 offers
from $ 1.06
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
10 offers
from $ 1.09
Bitskins
Bitskins
6 offers
from $ 1.1
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
6 offers
from $ 1.12
Steam
Steam
70 offers
from $ 1.29
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 1.5
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
7 offers
from $ 3.73
Inspect skin
XM1014 | Watchdog (Well-Worn)
Gallery
XM1014 | Watchdog inspecting XM1014 | Watchdog reloading XM1014 | Watchdog holding XM1014 | Watchdog pose-1 XM1014 | Watchdog pose-2 XM1014 | Watchdog pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.96
  • 24h price change: 26.32%
  • 7 days low: $ 0.68
  • 7 days high: $ 48.79
  • 7 days price change: 41.18%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.62
  • 30 days high: $ 48.79
  • 30 days price change: 54.84%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.62
  • 90 days high: $ 48.79
  • Year low: $ 0.44
  • Year high: $ 163
  • All time low: $ 0.35
  • All time high: $ 205
  • All time max offers: 331
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 47
  • Sales for last 7 days: 258
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1060
  • Sales for last 90 days: 2282
  • All time sales: 6305
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 4.48
  • Volatility: 13.32%
  • Liquidity: 11.34%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.78
  • Price forecast change in a month: 2.63%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.87
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 14.47%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 1.05
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 38.16%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 1.59
  • Price forecast change in a year: 109.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the XM1014 | Watchdog (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.74
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.74
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.74
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.74
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.72
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.66
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.68
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.68
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.72
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.75
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.72
Action
🔥 Buy
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 0.76
Action
🔥 Buy
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 0.81
Action
🔥 Buy
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 0.81
Action
🔥 Buy
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 0.86
Action
🔥 Buy
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.86
Action
🔥 Buy
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.84
Action
🔥 Buy
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.81
Action
🔥 Buy
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.76
Action
🔥 Buy
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.74
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
43%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
43%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
52 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
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$ 16.32
42%
From last month
46 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
13 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
260 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
305 offers on 8 markets

Description

The XM1014 | Watchdog (Well-Worn) is a powerful fully automatic shotgun, known for its ability to unleash a storm of bullets with precision and speed. Its jade green base, adorned with two guardian lions on either side and one lion beneath the rear sight, symbolizes protection and prosperity, making it an intimidating weapon of choice.

History

History

The XM1014 | Watchdog was released to CS2 on September 21st, 2021, and was a welcome addition to the Operation Riptide Case, released together with the highly anticipated "Operation Riptide" update. It was a spectacularly designed skin, crafted by the great community designer known as "Zaphk," which added an artistic feel to this reliable and tough piece of gun.

Origin

Origin

The highly-demanded skin XM1014 | Watchdog (Well-Worn) is pulled out of the container for Operation Riptide Case-a particular skin case that was released in CS2 on the eve of the Operation Riptide event. It belongs to the very exclusive collection called Operation Riptide Collection and shows how rare and great this skin is to the players.

Popularity

Popularity

The XM1014 | Watchdog (Well-Worn) proudly holds a rating of 85% popularity, placing it in the top 15% most popular items in CS2. This is based on its sales volume in one day and its market price, which further cements that this is a highly sought-after skin.

Rarity

Rarity

The XM1014 | Watchdog (Well-Worn) is one of 134 other shotgun skins available in CS2. With a Mil-Spec Grade rarity, it is a fairly common drop, estimated to have a drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The XM1014 | Watchdog (Well-Worn) is an affordable skin, with prices ranging from $0.19 to $7.43. It is widely available on various markets, and there are currently 963.9K units of the Watchdog in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

Float values for the Well-Worn XM1014 | Watchdog from 0.38-0.45 are what give the skin a relatively well-worn look with well-seen scratch and wear markings. Additionally, for each of the exterior options available with the Watchdog skin, there is a StatTrak version that one can get in the game that will allow one to track kills using the said skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The XM1014 | Watchdog has received universal acclaim within the CS2 community, reaching an impressive average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars with more than 1.1K votes on addskins.gg. Owned by two of the most successful professional players, such as coldzera and s1mple, this skin is guaranteed to be tagged as one of the most wanted in the game.

Finish style

Finish style

The skin for the XM1014 | Watchdog (Well-Worn) from CS2 is styled in "Gunsmith" with an incredible Watchdog finish, where patina is mixed with custom paint techniques. This skin is basically colored in captivating green and brown shades, while pattern indexes have no influence on the distinctive Watchdog design.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the XM1014 | Watchdog (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 0.78 (2.63%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 0.87 (14.47%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 1.05 (38.16%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 1.59 (109.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players