M249 | Downtown (Factory New)

4.7 1302 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.13
+8.44%
Last month
$ 0.36
+27.48%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1.46
-12.05%
In a quarter
$ 1.5
-9.64%
In half a year
$ 1.65
-0.6%
In a year
$ 2.14
+28.92%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
29% - Forecast accuracy
58% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
675 offers on 10 markets
Updated5 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
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Inspect skin
M249 | Downtown (Factory New)
Gallery
M249 | Downtown inspecting M249 | Downtown reloading M249 | Downtown holding M249 | Downtown pose-1 M249 | Downtown pose-2 M249 | Downtown pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1.67
  • 24h price change: 1.21%
  • 7 days low: $ 1.54
  • 7 days high: $ 117
  • 7 days price change: 8.44%
  • 30 days low: $ 1.31
  • 30 days high: $ 268
  • 30 days price change: 27.48%
  • 90 days low: $ 1
  • 90 days high: $ 268
  • Year low: $ 1
  • Year high: $ 268
  • All time low: $ 1
  • All time high: $ 268
  • All time max offers: 1237
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 182
  • Sales for last 7 days: 1381
  • Sales for last 30 days: 6055
  • Sales for last 90 days: 16605
  • All time sales: 45134
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 2.33
  • Volatility: 9.22%
  • Liquidity: 11.71%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1.46
  • Price forecast change in a month: -12.05%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1.5
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -9.64%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 1.65
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -0.6%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 2.14
  • Price forecast change in a year: 28.92%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M249 | Downtown (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1.59
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 1.59
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.59
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 1.49
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.1
-6.29%
Result
👎 Fail
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.7
Action
❌ Avoid
September 28, 2025
Price
$ 2.08
Action
📉 Sell
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 1.31
Action
❌ Avoid
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 1.48
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.48
November 1, 2025
Price
$ 1.59
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 1.59
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.59
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 1.54
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 1.14
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 1.14
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 1
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 1.12
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 1.2
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 1.49
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.1
-6.29%
Result
👎 Fail
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.7
Action
📉 Sell
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.84
Action
📉 Sell
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.7
Action
❌ Avoid
September 28, 2025
Price
$ 1.72
Action
❌ Avoid
October 6, 2025
Price
$ 2.08
Action
📉 Sell
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 1.31
Action
❌ Avoid
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 1.48
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.48
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -0.1
$ 19.98 - avg*
Invested***
$ 3.07
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
29%
58% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
58%
44% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2419
4032
3225
126101
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 100/200
  • Damage: 32
  • Spread: 2.0
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 195
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.4 3731
M249 | Aztec
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M249
Aztec
$ 0.68
64%
From last month
67 offers on 8 markets
4.4 3731
In a year 51%
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M249
Aztec
Factory New
4.4 3856
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Field-Tested
$ 0.61
39%
From last month
158 offers on 7 markets
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In a year 72%
M249 | Aztec
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Aztec
Minimal Wear
4.4 3860
In a quarter -31%
M249 | Aztec
Restricted
Normal
M249
Aztec
Well-Worn
$ 0.9
58%
From last month
32 offers on 6 markets
4.6 10735
M249 | Blizzard Marbleized
Industrial Grade
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Blizzard Marbleized
4.6 10695
M249 | Blizzard Marbleized
Industrial Grade
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M249
Blizzard Marbleized
Battle-Scarred
$ 9.71
69%
From last month
13 offers on 6 markets
4.6 10754
In a year 116%
M249 | Blizzard Marbleized
Industrial Grade
Normal
M249
Blizzard Marbleized
Factory New
4.6 10657
M249 | Blizzard Marbleized
Industrial Grade
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M249
Blizzard Marbleized
Field-Tested
$ 11.56
67%
From last month
34 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10764
M249 | Blizzard Marbleized
Industrial Grade
Normal
M249
Blizzard Marbleized
Minimal Wear
$ 29.94
40%
From last month
3 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10646
M249 | Blizzard Marbleized
Industrial Grade
Normal
M249
Blizzard Marbleized
Well-Worn
$ 13.74
86%
From last month
24 offers on 7 markets
$ 2.3
98%
From last month
63 offers on 7 markets
$ 6.99
33%
From last month
17 offers on 4 markets
$ 0.85
35%
From last month
87 offers on 7 markets
4.4 2287
In a year 145%
M249 | Deep Relief
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
M249
Deep Relief
Battle-Scarred

Description

Due to this, the M249 | Downtown Factory New has turned into a reliable Light Machine Gun that's ready to go for strategic field battles requiring precision and an adequate amount of ammunition. Equipped with a fleet of uniquely designed vibrant blue and pink arrows on the skin of the gun, this skin will no doubt be one-of-a-kind and certainly out of the ordinary due to the features it possesses; due to this, its spray pattern offers a new challenge even for skillful gamers.

History

History

M249 | Downtown first landed in CS2 on July 1st, 2022, when it was released as part of the Recoil Case. This stylish skin, designed by the talented community designer "The Honey Badger", had swiftly found its place in players' wishlists.

Origin

Origin

The M249 | Downtown (Factory New) can be acquired from the Recoil Case, a container that features many skins inside it. This skin is part of the Recoil Collection, a collection of various skins with urban aesthetics, graffiti art-inspired, and full of vivid colors.

Popularity

Popularity

After all, this M249 | Downtown, Factory New, gets a popularity rating of 95%, setting it as one of the most in-demand skins within the CS2 community. Notice how its high popularity translates into a pretty high volume of sales and price and is able to seal this as one of the hottest items in town.

Rarity

Rarity

The M249 | Downtown belongs to the remaining stock of 43 other Machinegun skins; hence, it is rather uncommon in CS2. Coming onto its rarity classification, Restricted would further validate its rarity by estimating a drop chance of about 15.98%.

Versions

Versions

It would range from 0.00-0.65 and is sure to be in every exterior. There is also a StatTrak variant for each exterior. It's one of the most qualitative versions of this skin with great tracking.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

M249 | Downtown is highly supported in the community, receiving more than 1.2K votes on addskins.gg and receiving an astonishing average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars. Meanwhile, professional CS2 players like coldzera and snax are proud owners of this masterpiece of a skin.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New M249 boasts an impressive "Custom Paint Job" style, wearing the Downtown finish which sports heavy customization capability in a myriad of colors. The skin has a cool blend of blue, cyan, and purple hues, and the pattern indexes do nothing to take away from the flair of the Downtown finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M249 | Downtown (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 1.46 (-12.05%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 1.5 (-9.64%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 1.65 (-0.6%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 2.14 (28.92%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.65
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players

All machinegun