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1 minute ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The M249 | Nebula Crusader first appeared in CS2 on September 17th, 2015, alongside the Shadow Case and the update "Shadow Boxing." This great skin was designed by an undoubtedly talented community artist known as "Zaphk," who immediately stole the hearts of players due to his cosmic-inspired design combined with a sleek aesthetic.
The M249 | Nebula Crusader Factory New could have been acquired through the opening of a Shadow Case container for a chance to acquire this skin, which looks really striking. It belongs to The Shadow Collection, and this skin owns a truly incomparable design, like a mesmerizing nebula. Hence, it is highly coveted by collectors and players alike.
M249 | Nebula Crusader Factory New is one of the most popular CS2 skins, meaning that it has 85% popularity. One of the rarest CS2 items, only 15% are less wanted compared to this skin. The popularity of a particular skin would depend on how much of it was sold for a certain period and at what price.
M249 | Nebula Crusader is a rather rare drop and is one of 43 skins for Machinegun in CS2. The rareness of the skin is Restricted. Consequently, it drops only rarely and has an estimated droppage of 15.98%.
Factory New - a float value between 0.00 and 1.00 for M249 | Nebula Crusader ensures this skin will feature in every of its exterior variants, including Battle-Scarred, Well-Worn, Field-Tested, Minimal Wear, and Factory New. An added touch is that each exterior has a StatTrak version where players can have kill tracking with the cosmic skin.
M249 | Nebula Crusader gained an astonishing amount of community love; it received more than 2K votes on addskins.gg, gaining an average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. The skin has also been liked by professional CS2 players such as bondik, shroud, and ub1que, which makes the skin very popular.
M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) Brilliant "Gunsmith" finish, masterfully combining patina with custom paint styles. Mesmerizing Nebula Crusader finish pattern index remains just the same, thus promising a consistent pattern display that is representative of artistry.
According to the forecast, the price of the M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 7.72 (-15.81%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 7.52 (-17.99%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 9.02 (-1.64%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 16.74 (82.55%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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