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1 minute ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The M249 | Nebula Crusader was released into the Counter-Strike: Global Offensive community on September 17th, 2015, and featured in the Shadow Case during the "Shadow Boxing" update. The design of this skin belongs to the brilliant community designer "Zaphk," and it has become quite popular due to its striking Nebula design. Still, it is one of the most wanted options among players who dream about having an extremely worn-out yet delightfully looking weapon.
A Shadow Case container opened will allow one to get the Well-Worn M249 | Nebula Crusader. The Nebula Crusader is a part of The Shadow Collection, that tantalizing leftovers, about a celestial pattern, with a cosmic nebula swirling across the gun's surface.
M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) holds an extremely high popularity rating within CS2. One could consider that this skin was present in 85% of all players' inventories. It follows logically that the skin would then be in the top 15% of all skins in-game for popularity and demand. This estimate provides us with popularity founded on daily sales volume and price, which means this skin is highly demanded and valued within the CS2 community.
M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) has a total of 43 Machinegun skins; it's an uncommon variety. This skin has a Restricted rarity classification, leading to an estimated drop chance of 15.98%, making the skin relatively rare in CS2.
The float value for CS2 M249 | Nebula Crusader-Well-Worn ranges from 0.38-0.45, which describes the skin as little worn-out and worn out with a faded finish. Additionally, players have StatTrak versions of the Nebula Crusader-Well-Worn in all exteriors, thus enabling them to see their kills with this particular skin.
M249 | Nebula Crusader attracted lots of attention among the CS2 community: more than 2,000 votes for this skin on addskins.gg brought it a really impressive average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is not limited to the amateur scene: bondik, shroud, and ub1que added this skin to their collections.
M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) is an interesting creation from Gunsmith, marrying the best of patina with custom paint jobs. The pattern index does not affect this Nebula Crusader finish; it always stays as unique and striking as it is.
According to the forecast, the price of the M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 1.13 (2.73%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 1.2 (9.09%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 1.31 (19.09%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 1.43 (30.0%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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