M249 | System Lock (Factory New)

4.4 7275 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.22
+24.44%
Last month
$ 0.37
+49.33%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.85
-24.11%
In a quarter
$ 0.85
-24.11%
In half a year
$ 1.06
-5.36%
In a year
$ 2.18
+94.64%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
73% - Forecast accuracy
17% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
163 offers on 10 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
M249 | System Lock (Factory New)
Gallery
M249 | System Lock inspecting M249 | System Lock reloading M249 | System Lock holding M249 | System Lock pose-1 M249 | System Lock pose-2 M249 | System Lock pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1.12
  • 7 days low: $ 0.9
  • 7 days high: $ 9.39
  • 7 days price change: 24.44%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.75
  • 30 days high: $ 119
  • 30 days price change: 49.33%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.56
  • 90 days high: $ 119
  • Year low: $ 0.32
  • Year high: $ 119
  • All time low: $ 0.3
  • All time high: $ 201
  • All time max offers: 241
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 20
  • Sales for last 7 days: 126
  • Sales for last 30 days: 394
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1022
  • All time sales: 2824
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 2.72
  • Volatility: 21.29%
  • Liquidity: 14.2%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.85
  • Price forecast change in a month: -24.11%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.85
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -24.11%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 1.06
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -5.36%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 2.18
  • Price forecast change in a year: 94.64%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M249 | System Lock (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.6
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.6
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 1.01
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.41
68.33%
Result
👍 Success
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.91
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.91
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.45
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.54
59.34%
Result
👍 Success
October 18, 2025
Price
$ 1.02
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.02
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.6
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.6
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.62
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.56
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.54
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.5
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.57
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.61
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.64
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.75
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.01
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.41
68.33%
Result
👍 Success
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.91
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.91
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.96
Action
🔥 Buy
October 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.98
Action
🔥 Buy
October 10, 2025
Price
$ 1.45
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.54
59.34%
Result
👍 Success
October 18, 2025
Price
$ 1.02
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.02
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.91
Action
🔥 Buy
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.95
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 2.53
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
73%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
17%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2419
4032
3225
126101
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 100/200
  • Damage: 32
  • Spread: 2.0
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 195
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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13 offers on 5 markets
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In a year 151%
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In a year 53%
M249 | Blizzard Marbleized
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Field-Tested
$ 11.68
67%
From last month
33 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10764
In a quarter -35%
M249 | Blizzard Marbleized
Industrial Grade
Normal
M249
Blizzard Marbleized
Minimal Wear
$ 29.94
40%
From last month
10 offers on 5 markets
4.6 10646
In a quarter -51%
M249 | Blizzard Marbleized
Industrial Grade
Normal
M249
Blizzard Marbleized
Well-Worn
$ 13.74
86%
From last month
24 offers on 7 markets
$ 2.3
98%
From last month
61 offers on 8 markets
$ 6.99
33%
From last month
14 offers on 4 markets
$ 0.85
35%
From last month
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4.4 2287
In a year 145%
M249 | Deep Relief
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
M249
Deep Relief
Battle-Scarred

Description

The M249 | System Lock Factory New serves as an honorable light machine gun for vast areas due to its precise shots and a big amount of ammo. This custom paint job contributes to its captivating look with crazy sci-fi style. That can be just the perfect choice in case one is not only concerned about performance but also cares a lot about weapon appearance.

History

History

The M249 | System Lock was added to Counter-Strike: Global Offensive on January 8th, 2015, as part of the Chroma Case. Professional community artist Nextgenz first submitted it, and due to its very modern feel and clean lines, this skin quickly became a favorite for players.

Origin

Origin

M249 | System Lock: Its rarity - and therefore demand - allows it to be pulled via opening a Chroma Case container. It is one of the exclusive skins in the Chroma Case Collection, which makes the M249 look unique and unprecedentedly stylish.

Popularity

Popularity

The M249 | System Lock (Factory New) is one of the popular skins that have grown quite favorable for usage in CS2, hence ranking within the top 25% of the rarity usage. This is attributed to its high demand by people, measured through the skin sales volume every day in addition to its price.

Rarity

Rarity

The M249 | System Lock is one of 43 other skins in the Misc category. This makes the skin relatively common in the CS2 skin market due to machine gun skins. It is in the Mil-Spec Grade class and is estimated at a drop chance of 79.92%, further showing that it's common.

Versions

Versions

The float value range of the M249 | System Lock in Factory New condition is from 0.00 to 0.80, meaning it's available in all exteriors, but it's also offering a StatTrak option for all its exterior variations. This would let players be able to track their kills with this skin on different wear levels.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The M249 | System Lock has gathered quite a favorable attitude from the CS2 community: high number of votes and 4.4 of 5-star average rating on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further underlined by ownership among professional players such as happy, aizy, and chrisj, which underlines how desirable this skin is to perform good in-game.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New M249 features a System Lock finish type, which is distinguished by its uniqueness and extreme customizability, using a full palette of colors. The base color of this skin consists of a rich red tint, while pattern indexes do not affect the System Lock finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M249 | System Lock (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 0.85 (-24.11%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.85 (-24.11%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 1.06 (-5.36%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 2.18 (94.64%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players

All machinegun