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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the M249 | System Lock (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

The M249 | System Lock Factory New serves as an honorable light machine gun for vast areas due to its precise shots and a big amount of ammo. This custom paint job contributes to its captivating look with crazy sci-fi style. That can be just the perfect choice in case one is not only concerned about performance but also cares a lot about weapon appearance.
The M249 | System Lock was added to Counter-Strike: Global Offensive on January 8th, 2015, as part of the Chroma Case. Professional community artist Nextgenz first submitted it, and due to its very modern feel and clean lines, this skin quickly became a favorite for players.
M249 | System Lock: Its rarity - and therefore demand - allows it to be pulled via opening a Chroma Case container. It is one of the exclusive skins in the Chroma Case Collection, which makes the M249 look unique and unprecedentedly stylish.
The M249 | System Lock (Factory New) is one of the popular skins that have grown quite favorable for usage in CS2, hence ranking within the top 25% of the rarity usage. This is attributed to its high demand by people, measured through the skin sales volume every day in addition to its price.
The M249 | System Lock is one of 43 other skins in the Misc category. This makes the skin relatively common in the CS2 skin market due to machine gun skins. It is in the Mil-Spec Grade class and is estimated at a drop chance of 79.92%, further showing that it's common.
The float value range of the M249 | System Lock in Factory New condition is from 0.00 to 0.80, meaning it's available in all exteriors, but it's also offering a StatTrak option for all its exterior variations. This would let players be able to track their kills with this skin on different wear levels.
The M249 | System Lock has gathered quite a favorable attitude from the CS2 community: high number of votes and 4.4 of 5-star average rating on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further underlined by ownership among professional players such as happy, aizy, and chrisj, which underlines how desirable this skin is to perform good in-game.
This Factory New M249 features a System Lock finish type, which is distinguished by its uniqueness and extreme customizability, using a full palette of colors. The base color of this skin consists of a rich red tint, while pattern indexes do not affect the System Lock finish.
According to the forecast, the price of the M249 | System Lock (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 0.85 (-24.11%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.85 (-24.11%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 1.06 (-5.36%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 2.18 (94.64%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.