M249 | Warbird (Factory New)

4.6 1584 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.03
+0.81%
Last month
$ 0.74
+24.75%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 3.51
-5.9%
In a quarter
$ 2.99
-19.84%
In half a year
$ 3.6
-3.49%
In a year
$ 7.42
+98.93%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
64% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
49 offers on 6 markets
Updated6 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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from $ 3.73
Skinport
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6 offers
from $ 4.67
Bitskins
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2 offers
from $ 10
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
4 offers
from $ 10.17
White.Market
White.Market
8 offers
from $ 10.19
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
6 offers
from $ 10.48
Inspect skin
M249 | Warbird (Factory New)
Gallery
M249 | Warbird inspecting M249 | Warbird reloading M249 | Warbird holding M249 | Warbird pose-1 M249 | Warbird pose-2 M249 | Warbird pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 3.73
  • 7 days low: $ 3.7
  • 7 days high: $ 86.86
  • 7 days price change: 0.81%
  • 30 days low: $ 2.99
  • 30 days high: $ 87.77
  • 30 days price change: 24.75%
  • 90 days low: $ 1.97
  • 90 days high: $ 87.77
  • Year low: $ 1.05
  • Year high: $ 87.77
  • All time low: $ 0.82
  • All time high: $ 87.77
  • All time max offers: 71
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 22
  • Sales for last 30 days: 57
  • Sales for last 90 days: 133
  • All time sales: 428
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 0.62
  • Volatility: 34.78%
  • Liquidity: 5.29%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 3.51
  • Price forecast change in a month: -5.9%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 2.99
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -19.84%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 3.6
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -3.49%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 7.42
  • Price forecast change in a year: 98.93%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M249 | Warbird (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1.67
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.67
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 2.99
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.32
79.04%
Result
👍 Success
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 2.99
Action
❌ Avoid
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 2.99
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.99
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.67
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.67
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 1.98
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 2.16
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 2.15
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 2.1
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.3
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 2.99
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.32
79.04%
Result
👍 Success
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 2.99
Action
❌ Avoid
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 2.99
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.99
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.99
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.99
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.99
Action
🔥 Buy
September 30, 2025
Price
$ 2.99
Action
🔥 Buy
October 8, 2025
Price
$ 2.99
Action
🔥 Buy
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 3.8
Action
🔥 Buy
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 4.03
Action
🔥 Buy
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 1.32
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 4.66
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
64%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2419
4032
3225
126101
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 100/200
  • Damage: 32
  • Spread: 2.0
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 195
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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$ 29.94
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From last month
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From last month
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M249 | Deep Relief
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
M249
Deep Relief
Battle-Scarred

Description

The M249 | Warbird (Factory New) is a trusty light machine gun that feels right at home in open areas, letting the player give up a high fire rate in return for a high level of precision supported by a rather ample amount of ammunition. The sea-worn, blue body and yellow heat shield paint have almost entirely been bleached from this battle-hardened assault weapon; a witness to many battles fought is a story worth telling in retirement.

History

History

The M249 | Warbird Factory New skin appeared in CS2 for the first time on November 18th, 2019, when the Operation Shattered Web update and Shattered Web Case went live. This skin boasts an engaging design crafted by community artist "MultiH," which quickly became a favorite of those players looking to give their M249 a realistic and battle-scarred appearance.

Origin

Origin

The M249 | Warbird is a highly sought-after skin and is obtained through a container known as the Shattered Web Case, an element of exclusivity and luck involved in its acquisition. The skin also forms part of the exclusive Shattered Web Collection, showcasing its uniqueness and adding value to the weapon within the CS2 community.

Popularity

Popularity

M249 | Warbird Factory New is one of the most popular skins in CS2 this skin popurlsity is 85 %. That means, M249 | Warbird occupies one of the leading 15% positions in the total skins popularity rating, which considers the usage and sales volume and price on the Steam Market.

Rarity

Rarity

M249 | Warbird The Warbird is among the 43 skins of Machinegun in CS2. This skin has Mil-Spec Grade rarity and has an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the M249 | Warbird in Factory New condition ranges from 0.05 to 0.65, which means this skin can be pulled in all exterior states, and it looks just about the same whichever one is pulled. A StatTrak version is also available for every Warbird exterior, for those collectors who like tracking.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

In CS: GO, the overall feeling of the community towards M249 | Warbird Factory New is great, with the average rating being pretty high at 4.6 out of 5 stars and more than 1.5K votes on addskins.gg. Another reason for its popularity could be the fact that professional players such as rubino and k0nfig own this weapon.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New M249 | Warbird features a "Gunsmith" style that expertly merges a patina effect with bespoke painting. The mostly gray tones of this make it very sleek and modern in appearance, while the pattern indices aren't changed and don't detract from the stunning Warbird finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M249 | Warbird (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 3.51 (-5.9%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 2.99 (-19.84%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 3.6 (-3.49%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 7.42 (98.93%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.06
Max: 0.65
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players

All machinegun