M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)

4.9 2860 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 297
+10.7%
Last month
$ 1 601
+109%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 2 840
-7.2%
In a quarter
$ 3 018
-1.39%
In half a year
$ 3 923
+28.19%
In a year
$ 8 582
+180.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
29% - Forecast accuracy
29% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
239 offers on 9 markets
Updated4 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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from $ 3 408
Bitskins
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2 offers
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ShadowPay
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47 offers
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Avan.Market
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2 offers
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CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
4 offers
from $ 4 029
CSGOEmpire
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9 offers
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Inspect skin
M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Hot Rod inspecting M4A1-S | Hot Rod reloading M4A1-S | Hot Rod holding M4A1-S | Hot Rod pose-1 M4A1-S | Hot Rod pose-2 M4A1-S | Hot Rod pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 3 072
  • 24h price change: 3.92%
  • 7 days low: $ 2 775
  • 7 days high: $ 6 799
  • 7 days price change: 10.7%
  • 30 days low: $ 1 471
  • 30 days high: $ 7 717
  • 30 days price change: 109%
  • 90 days low: $ 1 471
  • 90 days high: $ 7 717
  • Year low: $ 834
  • Year high: $ 396 928
  • All time low: $ 625
  • All time high: $ 396 928
  • All time max offers: 340
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 8
  • Sales for last 30 days: 23
  • Sales for last 90 days: 78
  • All time sales: 305
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 4.8
  • Volatility: 16.51%
  • Liquidity: 5.96%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 2 840
  • Price forecast change in a month: -7.2%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 3 018
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -1.39%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 3 923
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 28.19%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 8 582
  • Price forecast change in a year: 180.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 2 450
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2 450
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 2 450
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2 450
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 2 624
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 2 704
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 2 421
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 2 120
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 2 043
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 2 311
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 2 447
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 2 640
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 2 912
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 3 279
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 3 229
Action
🔥 Buy
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 3 438
Action
🔥 Buy
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 3 853
Action
🔥 Buy
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 3 004
Action
🔥 Buy
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 3 147
Action
🔥 Buy
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 2 450
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
29%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
29%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2820
4733
3826
13292
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 20/80
  • Damage: 38
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 600
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
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In a year 57%
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Classified
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Minimal Wear

Description

Holding a reduced magazine capacity compared to its unsuppressed variant, the M4A1-S allows for more stealthy shots with improved control and precision. Its slick design features a chrome base coat carefully layered over with a transparent red anodized effect for air and class.

History

History

The M4A1-S | Hot Rod first appeared in CS2 on May 26th, 2015, under the highly-awaited "The Hunter and the Hunted" update. Its sleek, hot, and fiery design made the Factory New variant one of the hottest skins that players wanted to have, back in the day-and its popularity has lasted for 8 years already.

Origin

Origin

M4A1-S | Hot Rod, featured in the exclusive Chop Shop Collection, can't be opened by container opening in Factory New condition. It's very limited and only obtainable through trading or via the Steam Community Market.

Popularity

Popularity

The M4A1-S | Hot Rod is one of the most popular skins in CS2. Its popularity among players can go as high as 90% due to its really good look, rarity, and high market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A1-S | Hot Rod Factory New out of all the 255 Rifle skins for CS2 is indeed a rare shot. It is classified and only has an estimated 3.2% drop chance, which makes it one of the most sought-after and really elusive skins for collectors.

Versions

Versions

Field-tested, the float value of the M4A1-S | Hot Rod is from 0.00-0.08, which pretty much describes its brand-new skin with extremely vivid colors. Unfortunately for collectors, there are no StatTrak or Souvenir versions of this sleek and stylish skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The M4A1-S | Hot Rod is one of the most famous skins in the whole of CS2. The rating on addskins dot com is 4.9 out of 5 stars, according to more than 2.7K votes. Its popularity is further amplified by its ownership by such renowned professional players as coldzera, taco, and f0rest.

Finish style

Finish style

The M4A1-S | Hot Rod Factory New for CS2 features an "Anodized Multicolored" style with a finish called Hot Rod. This means a bright, multicolored candy coat is applied in a pattern using techniques such as silk-screening or adherable stencils. Overall, this skin features an appealing red hue. Indices of the pattern do not affect the appearance of the Hot Rod skin.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 2 840 (-7.2%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 3 018 (-1.39%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 3 923 (28.19%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 8 582 (180.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.08
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.