M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New)

4.1 7629 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 63
+14.42%
Last month
$ 250
+100%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 382
-17.14%
In a quarter
$ 304
-34.06%
In half a year
$ 413
-10.41%
In a year
$ 984
+113.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
34% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
265 offers on 10 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A4 | Bullet Rain inspecting M4A4 | Bullet Rain reloading M4A4 | Bullet Rain holding M4A4 | Bullet Rain pose-1 M4A4 | Bullet Rain pose-2 M4A4 | Bullet Rain pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 500
  • 24h price change: 8.46%
  • 7 days low: $ 437
  • 7 days high: $ 1 835
  • 7 days price change: 14.42%
  • 30 days low: $ 250
  • 30 days high: $ 1 871
  • 30 days price change: 100%
  • 90 days low: $ 227
  • 90 days high: $ 1 871
  • Year low: $ 36.8
  • Year high: $ 16 051
  • All time low: $ 36.8
  • All time high: $ 16 051
  • All time max offers: 294
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 8
  • Sales for last 7 days: 31
  • Sales for last 30 days: 191
  • Sales for last 90 days: 340
  • All time sales: 897
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 1.47
  • Volatility: 19.72%
  • Liquidity: 7.99%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 382
  • Price forecast change in a month: -17.14%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 304
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -34.06%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 413
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -10.41%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 984
  • Price forecast change in a year: 113.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 133
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 171
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 171
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 133
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 168
Action
❌ Avoid
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 171
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 171
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 187
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 187
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 230
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 246
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 251
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 268
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 301
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 281
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 260
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 359
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 511
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 351
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 465
Action
🔥 Buy
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 171
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
34%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 82.8
42%
From last month
975 offers on 10 markets
$ 288
182%
From last month
467 offers on 10 markets
$ 103
52%
From last month
9 offers on 7 markets
$ 73.28
211%
From last month
465 offers on 10 markets
$ 120
220%
From last month
387 offers on 10 markets
4.1 7669
In a quarter -40%
M4A4 | Bullet Rain
Covert
Normal
M4A4
Bullet Rain
Well-Worn
$ 74.31
188%
From last month
19 offers on 7 markets
$ 1 030
165%
From last month
402 offers on 10 markets
4.5 2303
In half a year -68%
M4A4 | Buzz Kill
Covert
Normal
M4A4
Buzz Kill
Well-Worn
$ 1.22
50%
From last month
4921 offers on 11 markets

Description

The M4A4 | Bullet Rain-Factory New is a relatively accurate assault rifle in demand because the good balance between precision and damage is present among Counter-Terrorists. The custom paint job forms a striking graphic of bullets cascading from the clouds, adding a unique touch to its appearance.

History

History

The M4A4 | Bullet Rain dropped into the virtual battlefields of CS2 on July 10th, 2014, when it was added as a new weapon skin accompanying the eSports 2014 Summer Case. This chic and popular skin quickly gained popularity among players, becoming a symbol of competitive prowess and adding a touch of flair to the game's intense firefights.

Origin

Origin

This M4A4 | Bullet Rain in Factory New condition can be acquired from the container eSports 2014 Summer Case, which has a huge number of exclusive in-game skins for various weapons. It comes from the very rare and extremely prestigious eSports 2014 Summer Collection, which makes this skin one of the highly desired ones in CS2.

Popularity

Popularity

The M4A4 | Bullet Rain is one of the most in-demand weapons in the CS2 community, with a popularity rating of 90%. Indeed, such demand is well-reflected in the high daily sales volume and commanding price for this skin, already placing it among the most wanted skins in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

M4A4 | Bullet Rain Factory New is among the 255 varying rifle skins available in the game CS: GO. The M4A4 | Bullet Rain falls under the Covert rarity category, which is considered very well to be one of the super rare drops.

Versions

Versions

This means the float value of M4A4 | Bullet Rain in Factory New is between 0.02 and 0.46, and the players are allowed to find this skin in any kind of exterior with the best quality. In addition, with each exterior, collectors can also get a StatTrak version of Bullet Rain, which also raises the appeal for the lovers of CS: GO.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The CS2 M4A4 | Bullet Rain Factory New evoked a strong feeling of community, with more than 7.6 K voting for it on addskins.gg, averaging 4.1 out of 5 stars. It is very popular among well-known professional players like happy and byali.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New M4A4 | Bullet Rain has an exciting "Custom Paint Job" style, with a range of colors used, some quite bright, among them red and cyan popping particularly. The pattern index does not change how the skin looks; for all pattern indices, the Bullet Rain finish is the same and makes for a visually stunning pattern.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 382 (-17.14%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 304 (-34.06%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 413 (-10.41%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 984 (113.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.04
Max: 0.46
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players